Values & Reaches

Every player the market and Nova disagree on most. A big positive gap means Nova’s VORP rank is far ahead of where the room is drafting the player (a possible sleeper). A big negative gap means Nova has the player well behind the market (a possible reach).

ℹThe gap compares current market ADP to Nova’s preseason projection ranking. A big gap is a disagreement to investigate, not an automatic edge, the market prices in things Nova’s model does not see.

What do these terms mean?

Value (gap) ★

ADP minus Nova's rank. A big positive gap means Nova likes him more than the market (a value); negative means the market likes him more (a reach).

ADP

Average Draft Position: the average overall pick he is drafted at, from real drafts. The market's price on a player.

Nova Rk ★

Nova's own ranking by VORP, independent of ADP and the experts. The core opinion.

VORP ★

Value Over Replacement Player: projected points above a freely-available replacement at the same position. Nova's core measure of real value.

Tier ★

Nova's value tier at the position. A tier break marks a real cliff in value, so Tier 1 is the top group, Tier 2 the next, and so on.

★ = Nova’s own model, the secret sauce. The rest are the market reference and raw stats Nova is measured against.

ADP source: FantasyFootballCalculator ADP (free, real drafts) + Nova projections for the full player universe · 1118 drafts · window 2026-06-30 → 2026-07-07 · generated 2026-07-07 · 12-team leagues · 50 players shown · sorted by ADP minus Nova VORP rank, largest positive gap first

#	Player	Pos	ADP	Nova Rk	VORP	Tier	Gap
1	Kenyon SadiqNYJ	TE	168.1	80	9	T6	+88
2	Bo NixDEN	QB	115.6	31	52	T6	+85
3	Jalen HurtsPHI	QB	93.1	22	62	T5	+71
4	Baker MayfieldTB	QB	120.3	52	31	T6	+68
5	Caleb WilliamsCHI	QB	106.3	42	38	T6	+64
6	George KittleSF	TE	103.0	43	38	T6	+60
7	Alvin KamaraNO	RB	140.5	81	8	T6	+60
8	Hunter HenryNE	TE	158.1	103	-1	T6	+55
9	Zach CharbonnetSEA	RB	149.5	96	0	T6	+54
10	Tyrone Tracy Jr.NYG	RB	154.8	104	-1	T6	+51
11	Juwan JohnsonNO	TE	156.5	109	-4	T6	+48
12	Travis KelceKC	TE	92.0	48	33	T6	+44
13	Jake FergusonDAL	TE	114.8	71	17	T6	+44
14	RJ HarveyDEN	RB	88.4	49	33	T6	+39
15	Harold Fannin Jr.CLE	TE	66.4	28	57	T5	+38
16	Carnell TateTEN	WR	62.6	25	60	T5	+38
17	Brian Thomas Jr.JAX	WR	84.3	47	34	T6	+37
18	Tank DellHOU	WR	155.7	120	-11	T6	+36
19	Jared GoffDET	QB	90.1	55	31	T6	+35
20	Dallas GoedertPHI	TE	128.9	95	0	T6	+34
21	Kyle Pitts Sr.ATL	TE	86.4	56	30	T6	+30
22	T.J. HockensonMIN	TE	157.3	129	-16	T6	+28
23	Drake MayeNE	QB	65.2	37	46	T6	+28
24	Wan'Dale RobinsonTEN	WR	90.2	63	24	T6	+27
25	C.J. StroudHOU	QB	154.9	128	-16	T6	+27
26	Chig OkonkwoWAS	TE	165.1	139	-23	T6	+26
27	Jordan AddisonMIN	WR	94.5	69	17	T6	+26
28	Jordyn TysonNO	WR	85.5	61	25	T6	+25
29	Jordan LoveGB	QB	130.0	107	-4	T6	+23
30	Jerry JeudyCLE	WR	143.9	121	-12	T6	+23
31	Jakobi MeyersJAX	WR	98.5	77	12	T6	+22
32	Tyler WarrenIND	TE	55.0	34	49	T6	+21
33	Cooper KuppSEA	WR	169.1	149	-30	T6	+20
34	Jaxson DartNYG	QB	113.6	94	0	T6	+20
35	Kyren WilliamsLA	RB	32.5	13	92	T4	+20
36	Jeremiyah LoveARI	RB	22.2	3	155	T2	+19
37	TreVeyon HendersonNE	RB	58.7	40	42	T6	+19
38	Brock BowersLV	TE	35.1	17	84	T4	+18
39	Rachaad WhiteWAS	RB	100.8	83	6	T6	+18
40	Trey McBrideARI	TE	27.6	10	117	T3	+18
41	Mark AndrewsBAL	TE	130.0	113	-7	T6	+17
42	Josh AllenBUF	QB	27.8	11	106	T4	+17
43	Dalton KincaidBUF	TE	134.9	119	-11	T6	+16
44	Trevor LawrenceJAX	QB	80.6	65	24	T6	+16
45	Lamar JacksonBAL	QB	53.0	38	45	T6	+15
46	Courtland SuttonDEN	WR	70.2	57	29	T6	+13
47	Patrick MahomesKC	QB	77.1	66	23	T6	+11
48	Sam LaPortaDET	TE	71.9	62	25	T6	+10
49	Justin HerbertLAC	QB	77.4	68	18	T6	+9
50	Breece HallNYJ	RB	29.1	21	67	T5	+8