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Bo Nix

QBDEN · bye 10DNA B

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Nova projection
306season budget (pts)
18.47
PPR / game
31
Nova rank
T6
tier
52.1
VORP
Market
115.6
ADP · 10.08
67-142
draft range
100
expert ECR
73-112
expert range
+90
Nova vs market rank
+90
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
306107floor P10550ceiling P90
107
floor (P10)
306
median (budget)
550
ceiling (P90)
31%
P(tier-1 season)
50%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB5-QB25
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.99x position norm · 34 games · 18.3 mean PPR
Early SOS 11.8Playoff SOS 10.3 (tough)Bye 10

Bo Nix is Nova's 31st-ranked player overall (QB, DEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 306 points this season, about 18.47 per game.

He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 116, well behind Nova's 31, so he tends to return more than his cost.

Nova gives him about a 31% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 107 points (floor) to 550 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR31T652.131%QB5-QB25106.5-549.9
Half PPR25T551.931%QB5-QB25106.4-549.6
Standard23T651.731%QB5-QB25106.4-549.2
2QB / Superflex13T4100.531%QB5-QB25106.5-549.9

Nova season stat lines16.5 expected games

StatNova projection
Rushing Yards377
Rushing TDs4.5
Passing Yards3847.2
Passing TDs26.2

2025 usage profile17 games

100%
snap share
4.9
carries / game
18%
team carry share
4.3
yards / carry
18
red-zone opportunities (5 TDs)
+2.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+6.6
TD pace vs position (30 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

0
broken tackles forced
17.3
rush yards before contact / g
3.6
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
39.6
passer rating when targeted
128
times pressured
18.9%
pressure rate faced
115
times blitzed
22
times sacked
61
times hurried
45
times hit
16.3%
bad throw rate

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1DEN vs TEN176-1-2 pass, 8-18-0 rush6.8
W2DEN vs IND206-3-1 pass, 3-20-0 rush20.2
W3DEN vs LAC153-1-0 pass, 8-33-0 rush13.4
W4DEN vs CIN326-2-1 pass, 6-7-1 rush25.7
W5DEN vs PHI242-1-0 pass, 3-22-0 rush17.9
W6DEN vs NYJ174-1-0 pass, 5-24-0 rush13.4
W7DEN vs NYG279-2-0 pass, 5-48-2 rush40.0
W8DEN vs DAL247-4-1 pass, 1--1-0 rush23.8
W9DEN vs HOU173-2-1 pass, 3-36-0 rush18.5
W10DEN vs LV150-1-2 pass, 5--2-0 rush5.8
W11DEN vs KC295-0-0 pass, 3-8-0 rush12.6
W13DEN vs WAS321-1-1 pass, 2-16-0 rush16.4
W14DEN vs LV212-0-0 pass, 3-15-1 rush16.0
W15DEN vs GB302-4-0 pass, 7-10-0 rush29.1
W16DEN vs JAX352-1-1 pass, 4-11-0 rush15.2
W17DEN vs KC182-1-1 pass, 9-42-1 rush19.5
W18DEN vs LAC141-0-0 pass, 8-49-0 rush10.5