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Kyren Williams

RBLA · bye 11DNA S

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Nova projection
247season budget (pts)
15.82
PPR / game
13
Nova rank
T4
tier
92.1
VORP
Market
32.5
ADP · 3.08
21-42
draft range
32
expert ECR
17-49
expert range
+21
Nova vs market rank
+21
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
24771floor P10522ceiling P90
71
floor (P10)
247
median (budget)
522
ceiling (P90)
39%
P(tier-1 season)
61%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB8-RB37
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.829x position norm · 45 games · 17.56 mean PPR
Early SOS 21.3Playoff SOS 16.3Bye 11

Kyren Williams is Nova's 13th-ranked player overall (RB, LA), in Tier 4. Nova projects roughly 247 points this season, about 15.82 per game.

He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 33, well behind Nova's 13, so he tends to return more than his cost.

Nova gives him about a 39% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 71 points (floor) to 522 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR13T492.139%RB8-RB3771.4-522.2
Half PPR13T491.540%RB7-RB3666.7-488.1
Standard11T492.342%RB7-RB3462-454
2QB / Superflex17T586.939%RB8-RB3771.4-522.2

Nova season stat lines15.6 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards224.6
Receptions32.8
Receiving TDs2.5
Rushing Yards1162.6
Rushing TDs10.8

2025 usage profile17 games

68%
snap share
2.9
targets / game
8%
team target share
2%
air yards share
0.135
WOPR (opportunity)
2.1
receptions / game
72%
catch rate
5.6
yards / target
7.4
air yards / game
15.2
carries / game
57%
team carry share
4.8
yards / carry
63
red-zone opportunities (13 TDs)
+4.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+7.8
TD pace vs position (13 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

23
broken tackles forced
43.4
rush yards before contact / g
30.3
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
1.9%
drop rate
86
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1LA vs HOU18-66-1 rush, 1-3 rec13.9
W2LA vs TEN17-66-0 rush, 2-14 rec10.0
W3LA vs PHI20-94-0 rush, 2-18 rec19.2
W4LA vs IND13-77-0 rush, 3-17 rec10.4
W5LA vs SF14-65-0 rush, 8-66 rec31.1
W6LA vs BAL13-50-1 rush, 2-37 rec16.7
W7LA vs JAX12-54-0 rush, 2-11 rec8.5
W9LA vs NO25-114-1 rush17.4
W10LA vs SF14-73-2 rush, 2-11 rec22.4
W11LA vs SEA12-91-1 rush, 1-5 rec16.6
W12LA vs TB12-46-0 rush, 1-2 rec5.8
W13LA vs CAR13-72-1 rush, 0-0 rec13.2
W14LA vs ARI13-84-1 rush, 2-13 rec17.7
W15LA vs DET15-78-2 rush, 1-10 rec21.8
W16LA vs SEA23-70-0 rush, 3-15 rec11.5
W17LA vs ATL13-92-0 rush, 3-38 rec16.0
W18LA vs ARI12-60-0 rush, 3-21 rec11.1