Kyren Williams
RBLA · bye 11DNA SNova projection
247season budget (pts)
15.82
PPR / game
13
Nova rank
T4
tier
92.1
VORP
Market
32.5
ADP · 3.08
21-42
draft range
32
expert ECR
17-49
expert range
+21
Nova vs market rank
+21
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
71
floor (P10)
247
median (budget)
522
ceiling (P90)
39%
P(tier-1 season)
61%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB8-RB37
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.829x position norm · 45 games · 17.56 mean PPR
Kyren Williams is Nova's 13th-ranked player overall (RB, LA), in Tier 4. Nova projects roughly 247 points this season, about 15.82 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 33, well behind Nova's 13, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 39% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 71 points (floor) to 522 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 13 | T4 | 92.1 | 39% | RB8-RB37 | 71.4-522.2 |
| Half PPR | 13 | T4 | 91.5 | 40% | RB7-RB36 | 66.7-488.1 |
| Standard | 11 | T4 | 92.3 | 42% | RB7-RB34 | 62-454 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 17 | T5 | 86.9 | 39% | RB8-RB37 | 71.4-522.2 |
Nova season stat lines15.6 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 224.6 |
| Receptions | 32.8 |
| Receiving TDs | 2.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 1162.6 |
| Rushing TDs | 10.8 |
2025 usage profile17 games
68%
snap share
2.9
targets / game
8%
team target share
2%
air yards share
0.135
WOPR (opportunity)
2.1
receptions / game
72%
catch rate
5.6
yards / target
7.4
air yards / game
15.2
carries / game
57%
team carry share
4.8
yards / carry
63
red-zone opportunities (13 TDs)
+4.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+7.8
TD pace vs position (13 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
23
broken tackles forced
43.4
rush yards before contact / g
30.3
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
1.9%
drop rate
86
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LA vs HOU | 18-66-1 rush, 1-3 rec | 13.9 |
| W2 | LA vs TEN | 17-66-0 rush, 2-14 rec | 10.0 |
| W3 | LA vs PHI | 20-94-0 rush, 2-18 rec | 19.2 |
| W4 | LA vs IND | 13-77-0 rush, 3-17 rec | 10.4 |
| W5 | LA vs SF | 14-65-0 rush, 8-66 rec | 31.1 |
| W6 | LA vs BAL | 13-50-1 rush, 2-37 rec | 16.7 |
| W7 | LA vs JAX | 12-54-0 rush, 2-11 rec | 8.5 |
| W9 | LA vs NO | 25-114-1 rush | 17.4 |
| W10 | LA vs SF | 14-73-2 rush, 2-11 rec | 22.4 |
| W11 | LA vs SEA | 12-91-1 rush, 1-5 rec | 16.6 |
| W12 | LA vs TB | 12-46-0 rush, 1-2 rec | 5.8 |
| W13 | LA vs CAR | 13-72-1 rush, 0-0 rec | 13.2 |
| W14 | LA vs ARI | 13-84-1 rush, 2-13 rec | 17.7 |
| W15 | LA vs DET | 15-78-2 rush, 1-10 rec | 21.8 |
| W16 | LA vs SEA | 23-70-0 rush, 3-15 rec | 11.5 |
| W17 | LA vs ATL | 13-92-0 rush, 3-38 rec | 16.0 |
| W18 | LA vs ARI | 12-60-0 rush, 3-21 rec | 11.1 |