Breece Hall
RBNYJ · bye 13DNA HNova projection
224season budget (pts)
14.03
PPR / game
21
Nova rank
T5
tier
66.9
VORP
Market
29.1
ADP · 3.05
21-39
draft range
42
expert ECR
30-52
expert range
+11
Nova vs market rank
+11
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
62
floor (P10)
224
median (budget)
445
ceiling (P90)
31%
P(tier-1 season)
54%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB10-RB43
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.132x position norm · 49 games · 15.08 mean PPR
Breece Hall is Nova's 21st-ranked player overall (RB, NYJ), in Tier 5. Nova projects roughly 224 points this season, about 14.03 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 29, Nova 21).
Nova gives him about a 31% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 62 points (floor) to 445 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 21 | T5 | 66.9 | 31% | RB10-RB43 | 62-444.6 |
| Half PPR | 21 | T5 | 58.7 | 30% | RB10-RB43 | 55.4-397.3 |
| Standard | 22 | T6 | 51.7 | 29% | RB11-RB43 | 48.8-350 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 31 | T8 | 61.6 | 31% | RB10-RB43 | 62-444.6 |
Nova season stat lines16 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 417.1 |
| Receptions | 48.1 |
| Receiving TDs | 2.1 |
| Rushing Yards | 952.1 |
| Rushing TDs | 4.4 |
| Passing Yards | 1.9 |
2025 usage profile16 games
64%
snap share
3
targets / game
11%
team target share
-1%
air yards share
0.154
WOPR (opportunity)
2.2
receptions / game
75%
catch rate
7.3
yards / target
0.9
air yards / game
15.2
carries / game
57%
team carry share
4.4
yards / carry
33
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
-2.7
TD equity (under pace, due)
+1.1
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
13
broken tackles forced
38.6
rush yards before contact / g
27.9
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
2.2%
drop rate
86.9
passer rating when targeted
0
times pressured
0%
pressure rate faced
1
times blitzed
0
times sacked
0
times hurried
0
times hit
0%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYJ vs PIT | 19-107-0 rush, 2-38 rec | 16.5 |
| W2 | NYJ vs BUF | 10-29-0 rush, 2-9 rec | 5.8 |
| W3 | NYJ vs TB | 9-21-0 rush, 4-31 rec | 9.2 |
| W4 | NYJ vs MIA | 14-81-0 rush, 5-30 rec | 16.1 |
| W5 | NYJ vs DAL | 14-113-0 rush, 4-42 rec | 17.5 |
| W6 | NYJ vs DEN | 22-59-0 rush | 5.9 |
| W7 | NYJ vs CAR | 11-38-0 rush, 2-14 rec | 7.2 |
| W8 | NYJ vs CIN | 18-133-2 rush, 2-14 rec | 32.9 |
| W10 | NYJ vs CLE | 21-83-0 rush, 1-42 rec | 19.5 |
| W11 | NYJ vs NE | 14-58-0 rush, 2-6 rec | 8.4 |
| W12 | NYJ vs BAL | 16-44-0 rush, 4-75 rec | 13.9 |
| W13 | NYJ vs ATL | 19-68-1 rush, 2-8 rec | 15.6 |
| W14 | NYJ vs MIA | 14-43-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 4.3 |
| W15 | NYJ vs JAX | 12-23-0 rush, 2-14 rec | 5.7 |
| W16 | NYJ vs NO | 16-54-0 rush, 2-9 rec | 8.3 |
| W17 | NYJ vs NE | 14-111-1 rush, 2-18 rec | 20.9 |