C.J. Stroud
QBHOU · bye 8DNA BNova projection
237season budget (pts)
15.55
PPR / game
128
Nova rank
T6
tier
-15.8
VORP
Market
154.9
ADP · 13.11
144-165
draft range
136
expert ECR
124-213
expert range
+44
Nova vs market rank
+44
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
89
floor (P10)
237
median (budget)
426
ceiling (P90)
16%
P(tier-1 season)
34%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB9-QB33
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.919x position norm · 46 games · 15.32 mean PPR
C.J. Stroud is Nova's 128th-ranked player overall (QB, HOU), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 237 points this season, about 15.55 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 155, well behind Nova's 128, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 16% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 89 points (floor) to 426 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 128 | T6 | -15.8 | 16% | QB9-QB33 | 88.7-425.7 |
| Half PPR | 131 | T6 | -15.9 | 16% | QB9-QB33 | 88.7-425.5 |
| Standard | 137 | T7 | -16 | 16% | QB9-QB33 | 88.7-425.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 56 | T8 | 32.7 | 16% | QB9-QB33 | 88.7-425.7 |