Rookie Board

Rookies carry no NFL history, so they sit out of the main board and its projection engines. This page ranks the 2026 class a different way: a draft-capital prior, fit on how rookie-season PPR points have historically tracked position and draft pick, zero-point busts included. Filter by position to see the model’s pick curve for that spot.

What do these terms mean?

Prior PPR ★

Nova's draft-capital prior: what a rookie's position and draft-pick slot has historically produced in rookie-season PPR points (fitted on 2020-25 classes, busts included). A prior, not a projection, since no rookie has played an NFL snap yet.

ADP

Average Draft Position: the average overall pick he is drafted at, from real drafts. The market's price on a player.

Pos Rank

Rank within his position (by ADP on market columns, or by Nova's model where shown against Nova numbers), for example WR5.

★ = Nova’s own model, the secret sauce. The rest are the market reference and raw stats Nova is measured against.

⚠DIRECTIONAL: draft-capital priors, not projections. No rookie in this class has an NFL snap, so there is nothing to project from a stat history. Each number is a draft-capital prior: what a position + pick slot has historically been worth, fitted on 2020-25 rookie classes with zero-point busts included (no survivor bias). The backtest record is mixed by season, so this is directional, not validated, exactly like the rookie-prior entries (marked with a trailing *) on the main rankings board.

80 rookies · 7 with a market ADP match · 2026 class · generated 2026-07-05 · model: ppr ~ a + b*ln(pick) per position, classes 2020-2025, zeros included (no survivor bias)

#▲	Player	Pos	Team	Round	Pick	Prior PPR*	Prior PPG*	ADP
1	Jeremiyah LoveARI	RB	ARI	1	3	314*	18.4	21.6
2	Fernando MendozaLVR	QB	LVR	1	1	225*	13.2	n/a
3	Carnell TateTEN	WR	TEN	1	4	222*	13.1	61.7
4	Jordyn TysonNOR	WR	NOR	1	8	187*	11.0	86.2
5	Jadarian PriceSEA	RB	SEA	1	32	156*	9.2	74.9
6	Kenyon SadiqNYJ	TE	NYJ	1	16	148*	8.7	n/a
7	Makai LemonPHI	WR	PHI	1	20	141*	8.3	107.5
8	KC ConcepcionCLE	WR	CLE	1	24	131*	7.7	118.4
9	Ty SimpsonLAR	QB	LAR	1	13	123*	7.2	n/a
10	Omar Cooper Jr.NYJ	WR	NYJ	1	30	120*	7.1	136.3
11	De'Zhaun StriblingSFO	WR	SFO	2	33	115*	6.8	n/a
12	Denzel BostonCLE	WR	CLE	2	39	107*	6.3	n/a
13	Germie BernardPIT	WR	PIT	2	47	97*	5.7	n/a
14	Kaelon BlackSFO	RB	SFO	3	90	87*	5.1	n/a
15	Eli StowersPHI	TE	PHI	2	54	82*	4.8	n/a
16	Nate BoerkircherJAX	TE	JAX	2	56	80*	4.7	n/a
17	Marlin KleinHOU	TE	HOU	2	59	78*	4.6	n/a
18	Antonio WilliamsWAS	WR	WAS	3	71	76*	4.5	n/a
19	Max KlareLAR	TE	LAR	2	61	76*	4.5	n/a
20	Jonah ColemanDEN	RB	DEN	4	108	74*	4.4	n/a
21	Malachi FieldsNYG	WR	NYG	3	74	74*	4.4	n/a
22	Caleb DouglasMIA	WR	MIA	3	75	74*	4.3	n/a
23	Zachariah BranchATL	WR	ATL	3	79	71*	4.2	n/a
24	Ja'Kobi LaneBAL	WR	BAL	3	80	70*	4.1	n/a
25	Sam RoushCHI	TE	CHI	3	69	69*	4.1	n/a
26	Chris Brazzell IICAR	WR	CAR	3	83	68*	4.0	n/a
27	Ted HurstTAM	WR	TAM	3	84	68*	4.0	n/a
28	Mike Washington Jr.LVR	RB	LVR	4	122	66*	3.9	n/a
29	Oscar DelpNOR	TE	NOR	3	73	66*	3.9	n/a
30	Zavion ThomasCHI	WR	CHI	3	89	65*	3.8	n/a
31	Chris BellMIA	WR	MIA	3	94	62*	3.6	n/a
32	Carson BeckARI	QB	ARI	3	65	59*	3.5	n/a
33	Will KacmarekMIA	TE	MIA	3	87	57*	3.3	n/a
34	Brenen ThompsonLAC	WR	LAC	4	105	57*	3.3	n/a
35	Drew AllarPIT	QB	PIT	3	76	53*	3.1	n/a
36	Eli RaridonNWE	TE	NWE	3	95	52*	3.0	n/a
37	Elijah SarrattBAL	WR	BAL	4	115	52*	3.0	n/a
38	Kaden WetjenPIT	WR	PIT	4	121	49*	2.9	n/a
39	Skyler BellBUF	WR	BUF	4	125	48*	2.8	n/a
40	Emmett JohnsonKAN	RB	KAN	5	161	48*	2.8	n/a
41	Nicholas SingletonTEN	RB	TEN	5	165	46*	2.7	n/a
42	Bryce LanceNOR	WR	NOR	4	136	43*	2.5	n/a
43	Adam RandallBAL	RB	BAL	5	174	43*	2.5	n/a
44	Colbie YoungCIN	WR	CIN	4	140	42*	2.5	n/a
45	Reggie VirgilARI	WR	ARI	5	143	41*	2.4	n/a
46	Cade KlubnikNYJ	QB	NYJ	4	110	38*	2.3	n/a
47	Kaytron AllenWAS	RB	WAS	6	187	38*	2.2	n/a
48	Demond ClaiborneMIN	RB	MIN	6	198	34*	2.0	n/a
49	Matthew HibnerBAL	TE	BAL	4	133	34*	2.0	n/a
50	Kendrick LawDET	WR	DET	5	168	33*	1.9	n/a
51	Cyrus AllenKAN	WR	KAN	5	176	30*	1.8	n/a
52	Kevin Coleman Jr.MIA	WR	MIA	5	177	30*	1.8	n/a
53	Justin JolyDEN	TE	DEN	5	152	27*	1.6	n/a
54	Barion BrownNOR	WR	NOR	6	190	27*	1.6	n/a
55	Josh CameronJAX	WR	JAX	6	191	26*	1.5	n/a
56	Malik BensonLVR	WR	LVR	6	195	25*	1.5	n/a
57	CJ DanielsLAR	WR	LAR	6	197	25*	1.4	n/a
58	Max BredesonMIN	TE	MIN	5	159	24*	1.4	n/a
59	Emmanuel Henderson Jr.SEA	WR	SEA	6	199	24*	1.4	n/a
60	CJ WilliamsJAX	WR	JAX	6	203	23*	1.4	n/a
61	Lewis BondHOU	WR	HOU	6	204	23*	1.4	n/a
62	Tanner KoziolJAX	TE	JAX	5	164	23*	1.3	n/a
63	Seth McGowanIND	RB	IND	7	237	22*	1.3	n/a
64	Riley NowakowskiPIT	TE	PIT	5	169	21*	1.2	n/a
65	Joe RoyerCLE	TE	CLE	5	170	21*	1.2	n/a
66	Jam MillerNWE	RB	NWE	7	245	20*	1.2	n/a
67	Josh CuevasBAL	TE	BAL	5	173	20*	1.1	n/a
68	Anthony SmithDAL	WR	DAL	7	218	20*	1.1	n/a
69	Cole PaytonPHI	QB	PHI	5	178	19*	1.1	n/a
70	Taylen GreenCLE	QB	CLE	6	182	18*	1.1	n/a
71	Seydou TraoreMIA	TE	MIA	5	180	18*	1.0	n/a
72	Bauer SharpTAM	TE	TAM	6	185	16*	0.9	n/a
73	Deion BurksIND	WR	IND	7	254	12*	0.7	n/a
74	Athan KaliakmanisWAS	QB	WAS	7	223	10*	0.6	n/a
75	Behren MortonNWE	QB	NWE	7	234	8*	0.5	n/a
76	Jack EndriesCIN	TE	CIN	7	221	6*	0.4	n/a
77	Garrett NussmeierKAN	QB	KAN	7	249	6*	0.3	n/a
78	Jaren KanakTEN	TE	TEN	7	225	6*	0.3	n/a
79	Carsen RyanCLE	TE	CLE	7	248	0*	0.0	n/a
80	Dallen BentleyDEN	TE	DEN	7	256	0*	0.0	n/a