Zach Charbonnet
RBSEA · bye 11DNA VNova projection
160season budget (pts)
9.97
PPR / game
96
Nova rank
T6
tier
0
VORP
Market
149.5
ADP · 13.06
96-180
draft range
130
expert ECR
64-207
expert range
+69
Nova vs market rank
+69
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
43
floor (P10)
160
median (budget)
314
ceiling (P90)
15%
P(tier-1 season)
35%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB18-RB56
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.121x position norm · 49 games · 9.68 mean PPR
Zach Charbonnet is Nova's 96th-ranked player overall (RB, SEA), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 160 points this season, about 9.97 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 150, well behind Nova's 96, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 15% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 43 points (floor) to 314 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 96 | T6 | 0 | 15% | RB18-RB56 | 42.9-314.1 |
| Half PPR | 89 | T6 | 1.8 | 16% | RB18-RB55 | 39.1-286.5 |
| Standard | 78 | T7 | 5 | 16% | RB18-RB54 | 35.4-258.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 113 | T8 | -5.2 | 15% | RB18-RB56 | 42.9-314.1 |
Nova season stat lines16.1 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 206.7 |
| Receptions | 28 |
| Rushing Yards | 601.5 |
| Rushing TDs | 8.1 |
2025 usage profile16 games
48%
snap share
1.5
targets / game
5%
team target share
1%
air yards share
0.087
WOPR (opportunity)
1.2
receptions / game
83%
catch rate
6
yards / target
2.5
air yards / game
11.5
carries / game
39%
team carry share
4
yards / carry
55
red-zone opportunities (11 TDs)
+4.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+7.1
TD pace vs position (12 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
15
broken tackles forced
24.6
rush yards before contact / g
21.1
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
3%
drop rate
86.1
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SEA vs SF | 12-47-1 rush | 10.7 |
| W2 | SEA vs PIT | 15-10-0 rush | 1.0 |
| W4 | SEA vs ARI | 12-39-1 rush, 2-5 rec | 12.4 |
| W5 | SEA vs TB | 9-36-1 rush, 1-12 rec | 11.8 |
| W6 | SEA vs JAX | 12-24-0 rush, 1-13 rec | 4.7 |
| W7 | SEA vs HOU | 12-49-2 rush, 2-6 rec | 19.5 |
| W9 | SEA vs WAS | 8-25-0 rush, 1-21 rec | 5.6 |
| W10 | SEA vs ARI | 14-83-1 rush | 14.3 |
| W11 | SEA vs LA | 11-37-0 rush, 2-10 rec | 6.7 |
| W12 | SEA vs TEN | 6-35-1 rush | 9.5 |
| W13 | SEA vs MIN | 14-52-1 rush | 11.2 |
| W14 | SEA vs ATL | 7-46-0 rush, 2-20 rec | 8.6 |
| W15 | SEA vs IND | 8-31-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 3.1 |
| W16 | SEA vs LA | 9-32-1 rush, 4-22 rec | 17.4 |
| W17 | SEA vs CAR | 18-110-2 rush, 2-12 rec | 26.2 |
| W18 | SEA vs SF | 17-74-1 rush, 3-23 rec | 18.7 |