Sam LaPorta
TEDET · bye 6DNA SNova projection
164season budget (pts)
12.12
PPR / game
62
Nova rank
T6
tier
24.5
VORP
Market
71.9
ADP · 6.12
55-87
draft range
80
expert ECR
56-105
expert range
+10
Nova vs market rank
+10
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
62
floor (P10)
164
median (budget)
264
ceiling (P90)
21%
P(tier-1 season)
39%
P(tier-2 or better)
TE8-TE28
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.899x position norm · 42 games · 12.4 mean PPR
Market coverage
+25
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Sam LaPorta is Nova's 62nd-ranked player overall (TE, DET), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 164 points this season, about 12.12 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 72, Nova 62).
Nova gives him about a 21% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 62 points (floor) to 264 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). Nova projects him above the Vegas market here (divergence +25). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 62 | T6 | 24.5 | 21% | TE8-TE28 | 61.6-264.4 |
| Half PPR | 64 | T5 | 19.6 | 22% | TE7-TE28 | 50.4-216.4 |
| Standard | 67 | T7 | 16 | 24% | TE7-TE27 | 39.3-168.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 68 | T8 | 24.5 | 21% | TE8-TE28 | 61.6-264.4 |
Nova season stat lines13.5 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 683.3 |
| Receptions | 59.2 |
| Receiving TDs | 5.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 1.1 |
2025 usage profile9 games
91%
snap share
5.4
targets / game
19%
team target share
18%
air yards share
0.399
WOPR (opportunity)
4.4
receptions / game
82%
catch rate
10
yards / target
30.8
air yards / game
6
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+1.3
TD pace vs position (3 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
5
broken tackles forced
0
drops
0%
drop rate
116.4
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 4.5 | 54% over | 5.9 | n/a |
| Receiving Yards | 624.5 | 50% over | 683.3 | +9.4% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DET vs GB | 6-79-0 (9 tgt) | 13.9 |
| W2 | DET vs CHI | 3-26-0 (4 tgt) | 5.6 |
| W3 | DET vs BAL | 4-33-0 (4 tgt) | 7.3 |
| W4 | DET vs CLE | 3-39-0 (4 tgt) | 6.9 |
| W5 | DET vs CIN | 5-92-1 (6 tgt) | 20.2 |
| W6 | DET vs KC | 5-55-1 (6 tgt) | 16.5 |
| W7 | DET vs TB | 3-15-0 (3 tgt) | 4.5 |
| W9 | DET vs MIN | 6-97-1 (8 tgt) | 21.7 |
| W10 | DET vs WAS | 5-53-0 (5 tgt) | 10.3 |