Home
Draft
Draft War RoomPreseason RankingsMock DraftRookie BoardHandcuff FinderStrength of ScheduleBye PlannerCheat SheetValues & ReachesScarcity CurveStack Finder
In-Season
Weekly ProjectionsWaiver WireInjury WatchScenariosLineup OptimizerTrendingScores
Tools
CompareTrade AnalyzerWhat-IfMy LeagueConnect LeagueTrade FinderTeamsRoster Report CardExport
Research
Divergence WatchLine MoversSignal LibraryArmchair QBAsk NovaFloor / CeilingOpportunityConsistency
About
MethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the Model

RJ Harvey

RBDEN · bye 10DNA V

← back to rankings

Nova projection
191season budget (pts)
11.56
PPR / game
49
Nova rank
T6
tier
33.3
VORP
Market
88.4
ADP · 8.04
62-115
draft range
93
expert ECR
55-134
expert range
+42
Nova vs market rank
+42
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
19155floor P10403ceiling P90
55
floor (P10)
191
median (budget)
403
ceiling (P90)
25%
P(tier-1 season)
47%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB12-RB46
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.047x position norm · 17 games · 12.15 mean PPR
Early SOS 8.5 (tough)Playoff SOS 17.3Bye 10

RJ Harvey is Nova's 49th-ranked player overall (RB, DEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 191 points this season, about 11.56 per game.

He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 88, well behind Nova's 49, so he tends to return more than his cost.

Nova gives him about a 25% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 55 points (floor) to 403 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR49T633.325%RB12-RB4654.6-402.7
Half PPR53T527.524%RB13-RB4748.5-357.5
Standard55T72323%RB14-RB4842.3-312.4
2QB / Superflex63T82825%RB12-RB4654.6-402.7

Nova season stat lines16.5 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards326.7
Receptions43.2
Receiving TDs4.4
Rushing Yards518.3
Rushing TDs6.4

2025 usage profile17 games

42%
snap share
3.4
targets / game
10%
team target share
-1%
air yards share
0.146
WOPR (opportunity)
2.8
receptions / game
81%
catch rate
6.1
yards / target
1.6
air yards / game
8.6
carries / game
31%
team carry share
3.7
yards / carry
40
red-zone opportunities (9 TDs)
+3.3
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+6.8
TD pace vs position (12 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

12
broken tackles forced
16.4
rush yards before contact / g
15.4
rush yards after contact / g
7
drops
14.1%
drop rate
94.2
passer rating when targeted
0
times pressured
0%
pressure rate faced
1
times blitzed
0
times sacked
0
times hurried
0
times hit
100%
bad throw rate

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1DEN vs TEN6-70-0 rush, 1--1 rec7.9
W2DEN vs IND5-8-0 rush, 1-16 rec3.4
W3DEN vs LAC2-2-0 rush, 3-14 rec4.6
W4DEN vs CIN14-58-0 rush, 4-40 rec19.8
W5DEN vs PHI4-12-0 rush, 3-18 rec6.0
W6DEN vs NYJ2-4-0 rush, 4-21 rec6.5
W7DEN vs NYG4-0-0 rush, 1-2 rec7.2
W8DEN vs DAL7-46-2 rush, 1-5 rec24.1
W9DEN vs HOU2-5-0 rush, 5-51 rec16.6
W10DEN vs LV4-9-0 rush, 2-9 rec3.8
W11DEN vs KC11-30-0 rush, 3-20 rec8.0
W13DEN vs WAS13-35-2 rush, 3-27 rec21.2
W14DEN vs LV17-75-1 rush, 6-25 rec22.0
W15DEN vs GB19-65-1 rush, 0-0 rec10.5
W16DEN vs JAX7-50-1 rush, 4-71 rec22.1
W17DEN vs KC14-43-0 rush, 5-33 rec18.6
W18DEN vs LAC15-28-0 rush, 1-5 rec4.3