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About
MethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the Model

Challenge the Model

Same data, your judgment. Agree, override with your own number (and your reason, that’s the data), or skip. Picks lock, games happen, and both records are scored side by side. A user who beats the model built their edge on our platform; a user who loses learns exactly where. Both outcomes are the product.

⚠LOCAL TESTING MODE. Fixture slate, invented actuals, and your record lives in this browser only. Accounts, real weekly slates, kickoff locks, and the public leaderboard arrive with the season.
What do these terms mean?
MAE
Mean Absolute Error: the average size of the miss between projection and actual. Lower is more accurate.
Coverage
How often the actual result landed inside the projected floor-to-ceiling band. The target is about 80 percent.