Positional Scarcity Curve
Value-based drafting starts with one question: where does each position’s value fall off a cliff? This plots VORP against positional rank for QB, RB, WR, and TE side by side, with dots marking every tier boundary, so you can see exactly which picks are worth reaching for and which can wait.
ℹVORP and tiers are Nova’s model, format-specific. Positional rank is each player’s rank within their own position (1 = best at that position), not their overall rank. All from free data.
What do these terms mean?
VORP ★
Value Over Replacement Player: projected points above a freely-available replacement at the same position. Nova's core measure of real value.
Tier ★
Nova's value tier at the position. A tier break marks a real cliff in value, so Tier 1 is the top group, Tier 2 the next, and so on.
Pos Rank
Rank within his position (by ADP on market columns, or by Nova's model where shown against Nova numbers), for example WR5.
★ = Nova’s own model, the secret sauce. The rest are the market reference and raw stats Nova is measured against.
PPR scoring · top 36 per position by Nova VORP rank · dots mark tier boundaries (the cliffs)
Picks already gone:
Draft read
With roughly 12 picks off the board, RB has the steepest immediate dropoff among the next players available: going from Jeremiyah Love (VORP 155) to De'Von Achane (VORP 125) costs 30 VORP. That is the position where waiting one more round costs the most value right now.
Approximation: assumes picks are spread evenly across QB/RB/WR/TE. It is a simple read, not a full draft simulator.
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