Brock Bowers
TELV · bye 13DNA VNova projection
224season budget (pts)
15.59
PPR / game
17
Nova rank
T4
tier
84.1
VORP
Market
35.1
ADP · 3.11
18-48
draft range
15
expert ECR
16-22
expert range
+20
Nova vs market rank
+20
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
84
floor (P10)
224
median (budget)
367
ceiling (P90)
40%
P(tier-1 season)
62%
P(tier-2 or better)
TE4-TE18
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.056x position norm · 29 games · 15.13 mean PPR
Market coverage
-3
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Brock Bowers is Nova's 17th-ranked player overall (TE, LV), in Tier 4. Nova projects roughly 224 points this season, about 15.59 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 35, well behind Nova's 17, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 40% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 84 points (floor) to 367 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 17 | T4 | 84.1 | 40% | TE4-TE18 | 84.4-367.1 |
| Half PPR | 19 | T5 | 64.8 | 40% | TE4-TE18 | 67.7-294.4 |
| Standard | 25 | T6 | 46.7 | 40% | TE4-TE18 | 51-221.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 22 | T5 | 84.1 | 40% | TE4-TE18 | 84.4-367.1 |
Nova season stat lines14.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 936.3 |
| Receptions | 88.1 |
| Receiving TDs | 6.7 |
| Rushing Yards | 6.8 |
2025 usage profile12 games
86%
snap share
7.2
targets / game
23%
team target share
25%
air yards share
0.526
WOPR (opportunity)
5.3
receptions / game
74%
catch rate
7.9
yards / target
46.7
air yards / game
18
red-zone opportunities (6 TDs)
+2.4
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+4.8
TD pace vs position (7 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
3
broken tackles forced
-0.5
rush yards before contact / g
1.5
rush yards after contact / g
4
drops
5.5%
drop rate
96.5
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 7.5 | 41% over | 6.7 | -10.7% |
| Receiving Yards | 899.5 | 50% over | 936.3 | +4.1% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LV vs NE | 5-103-0 (8 tgt) | 15.3 |
| W2 | LV vs LAC | 5-38-0 (8 tgt) | 8.8 |
| W3 | LV vs WAS | 4-38-0 (5 tgt) | 9.8 |
| W4 | LV vs CHI | 5-46-0 (6 tgt) | 9.6 |
| W9 | LV vs JAX | 12-127-3 (13 tgt), 1-6 rush | 43.3 |
| W10 | LV vs DEN | 1-31-0 (3 tgt), 1--4 rush | 3.7 |
| W11 | LV vs DAL | 7-72-0 (12 tgt) | 14.2 |
| W12 | LV vs CLE | 6-55-0 (9 tgt) | 11.5 |
| W13 | LV vs LAC | 4-63-2 (4 tgt) | 22.3 |
| W14 | LV vs DEN | 4-46-1 (5 tgt) | 14.6 |
| W15 | LV vs PHI | 6-28-0 (8 tgt) | 8.8 |
| W16 | LV vs HOU | 5-33-1 (5 tgt) | 14.3 |