Drake Maye
QBNE · bye 11DNA SNova projection
297season budget (pts)
19.18
PPR / game
37
Nova rank
T6
tier
46.2
VORP
Market
65.2
ADP · 6.05
44-77
draft range
29
expert ECR
25-68
expert range
+30
Nova vs market rank
+30
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
112
floor (P10)
297
median (budget)
543
ceiling (P90)
29%
P(tier-1 season)
49%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB6-QB26
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.866x position norm · 30 games · 17.64 mean PPR
Drake Maye is Nova's 37th-ranked player overall (QB, NE), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 297 points this season, about 19.18 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 65, well behind Nova's 37, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 29% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 112 points (floor) to 543 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 37 | T6 | 46.2 | 29% | QB6-QB26 | 112-543 |
| Half PPR | 30 | T5 | 45.9 | 29% | QB6-QB26 | 111.9-542.5 |
| Standard | 26 | T6 | 45.6 | 29% | QB6-QB26 | 111.8-541.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 14 | T4 | 94.6 | 29% | QB6-QB26 | 112-543 |
Nova season stat lines15.5 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 1.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 449.3 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.4 |
| Passing Yards | 3758 |
| Passing TDs | 26 |
2025 usage profile17 games
96%
snap share
6.1
carries / game
21%
team carry share
4.4
yards / carry
22
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
+1.4
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+11.6
TD pace vs position (35 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
19.7
rush yards before contact / g
6.8
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
79.2
passer rating when targeted
132
times pressured
21.1%
pressure rate faced
158
times blitzed
47
times sacked
43
times hurried
42
times hit
12.9%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NE vs LV | 287-1-1 pass, 4-11-0 rush | 15.8 |
| W2 | NE vs MIA | 230-2-0 pass, 10-31-1 rush | 26.3 |
| W3 | NE vs PIT | 268-2-1 pass, 7-45-0 rush | 19.2 |
| W4 | NE vs CAR | 203-2-0 pass, 3-11-1 rush | 23.2 |
| W5 | NE vs BUF | 273-0-0 pass, 3-12-0 rush | 12.1 |
| W6 | NE vs NO | 261-3-0 pass, 9-28-0 rush | 27.2 |
| W7 | NE vs TEN | 222-2-0 pass, 8-62-0 rush | 23.1 |
| W8 | NE vs CLE | 282-3-1 pass, 7-50-0 rush | 26.3 |
| W9 | NE vs ATL | 259-2-1 pass, 8-20-0 rush | 16.4 |
| W10 | NE vs TB | 270-2-1 pass, 7-13-0 rush | 18.1 |
| W11 | NE vs NYJ | 281-1-0 pass, 4-2-0 rush | 15.4 |
| W12 | NE vs CIN | 294-1-1 pass, 5-22-0 rush | 16.0 |
| W13 | NE vs NYG | 282-2-0 pass, 6-12-0 rush | 20.5 |
| W15 | NE vs BUF | 155-0-1 pass, 4-43-2 rush | 20.5 |
| W16 | NE vs BAL | 380-2-1 pass, 10-25-0 rush | 23.7 |
| W17 | NE vs NYJ | 256-5-0 pass, 3-22-0 rush | 32.4 |
| W18 | NE vs MIA | 191-1-0 pass, 5-41-0 rush | 15.7 |