Jared Goff
QBDET · bye 6DNA BNova projection
281season budget (pts)
16.97
PPR / game
55
Nova rank
T6
tier
30.5
VORP
Market
90.1
ADP · 8.06
59-117
draft range
107
expert ECR
79-128
expert range
+37
Nova vs market rank
+37
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
100
floor (P10)
281
median (budget)
504
ceiling (P90)
26%
P(tier-1 season)
45%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB6-QB29
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 1.013x position norm · 51 games · 17.86 mean PPR
Jared Goff is Nova's 55th-ranked player overall (QB, DET), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 281 points this season, about 16.97 per game.
He is a value: the market drafts him around pick 90, well behind Nova's 55, so he tends to return more than his cost.
Nova gives him about a 26% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 100 points (floor) to 504 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 55 | T6 | 30.5 | 26% | QB6-QB29 | 100.2-503.8 |
| Half PPR | 46 | T5 | 30.3 | 26% | QB6-QB28 | 100.1-503.5 |
| Standard | 43 | T7 | 30.2 | 26% | QB6-QB28 | 100.1-503.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 24 | T6 | 78.9 | 26% | QB6-QB29 | 100.2-503.8 |
Nova season stat lines16.5 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 1.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 50.3 |
| Passing Yards | 4229.1 |
| Passing TDs | 31.3 |
2025 usage profile17 games
99%
snap share
1.1
carries / game
4%
team carry share
2.4
yards / carry
3
red-zone opportunities (0 TDs)
-0.4
TD equity (under pace, due)
+10.6
TD pace vs position (34 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
3.7
rush yards before contact / g
0.4
rush yards after contact / g
150
times pressured
23.9%
pressure rate faced
147
times blitzed
38
times sacked
38
times hurried
74
times hit
14.6%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DET vs GB | 225-1-1 pass, 1--1-0 rush | 10.9 |
| W2 | DET vs CHI | 334-5-0 pass, 1-6-0 rush | 34.0 |
| W3 | DET vs BAL | 202-1-0 pass, 4-6-0 rush | 12.7 |
| W4 | DET vs CLE | 168-2-1 pass | 12.7 |
| W5 | DET vs CIN | 258-3-0 pass, 2--2-0 rush | 20.1 |
| W6 | DET vs KC | 203-2-0 pass, 1-7-0 rush | 16.8 |
| W7 | DET vs TB | 241-1-1 pass, 2-7-0 rush | 10.3 |
| W9 | DET vs MIN | 284-2-0 pass | 19.4 |
| W10 | DET vs WAS | 320-3-0 pass | 24.8 |
| W11 | DET vs PHI | 255-1-1 pass, 1--1-0 rush | 12.1 |
| W12 | DET vs NYG | 279-2-1 pass | 17.2 |
| W13 | DET vs GB | 256-2-0 pass, 1-24-0 rush | 20.6 |
| W14 | DET vs DAL | 309-1-0 pass, 2--2-0 rush | 16.2 |
| W15 | DET vs LA | 338-3-0 pass | 25.5 |
| W16 | DET vs PIT | 364-3-0 pass, 1--1-0 rush | 26.5 |
| W17 | DET vs MIN | 197-1-2 pass, 3-2-0 rush | 2.1 |
| W18 | DET vs CHI | 331-1-1 pass | 15.2 |