Woody Marks
RBHOU · bye 8DNA VNova projection
139season budget (pts)
8.76
PPR / game
133
Nova rank
T6
tier
-20.6
VORP
Market
137.8
ADP · 12.06
111-169
draft range
128
expert ECR
82-176
expert range
+14
Nova vs market rank
+14
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
37
floor (P10)
139
median (budget)
283
ceiling (P90)
12%
P(tier-1 season)
29%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB22-RB60
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.086x position norm · 16 games · 9.07 mean PPR
Woody Marks is Nova's 133rd-ranked player overall (RB, HOU), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 139 points this season, about 8.76 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 138, Nova 133).
Nova gives him about a 12% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 37 points (floor) to 283 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 133 | T6 | -20.6 | 12% | RB22-RB60 | 37.3-283.1 |
| Half PPR | 132 | T6 | -16.4 | 12% | RB22-RB59 | 34.2-259.3 |
| Standard | 125 | T7 | -10.9 | 12% | RB21-RB58 | 31-235.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 150 | T8 | -25.8 | 12% | RB22-RB60 | 37.3-283.1 |
Nova season stat lines15.8 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 199.3 |
| Receptions | 23.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 2.7 |
| Rushing Yards | 666 |
| Rushing TDs | 2.1 |
2025 usage profile16 games
52%
snap share
2.2
targets / game
7%
team target share
2%
air yards share
0.115
WOPR (opportunity)
1.5
receptions / game
67%
catch rate
5.8
yards / target
4.8
air yards / game
12.2
carries / game
44%
team carry share
3.6
yards / carry
41
red-zone opportunities (5 TDs)
-0.6
TD equity (under pace, due)
+0.1
TD pace vs position (5 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
9
broken tackles forced
22.2
rush yards before contact / g
21.7
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
5.6%
drop rate
87.1
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | HOU vs LA | 3-3-0 rush | 0.3 |
| W2 | HOU vs TB | 3-14-0 rush, 1-37 rec | 6.1 |
| W3 | HOU vs JAX | 6-27-0 rush, 1-9 rec | 4.6 |
| W4 | HOU vs TEN | 17-69-1 rush, 4-50 rec | 27.9 |
| W5 | HOU vs BAL | 7-24-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 2.4 |
| W7 | HOU vs SEA | 10-15-0 rush, 3-20 rec | 12.5 |
| W8 | HOU vs SF | 11-62-0 rush, 4-49 rec | 15.1 |
| W9 | HOU vs DEN | 10-27-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 2.7 |
| W10 | HOU vs JAX | 14-63-1 rush, 2-18 rec | 16.1 |
| W11 | HOU vs TEN | 18-44-0 rush, 1-7 rec | 6.1 |
| W12 | HOU vs BUF | 16-74-0 rush, 1--5 rec | 7.9 |
| W13 | HOU vs IND | 19-64-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 7.7 |
| W14 | HOU vs KC | 26-68-0 rush, 2-8 rec | 15.6 |
| W15 | HOU vs ARI | 7-30-0 rush, 1-8 rec | 4.8 |
| W17 | HOU vs LAC | 19-71-0 rush, 1-4 rec | 8.5 |
| W18 | HOU vs IND | 10-48-0 rush, 2-0 rec | 6.8 |