Tyler Shough
QBNO · bye 8ROOKIE/NANova projection
182season budget (pts)
14.74
PPR / game
249
Nova rank
T6
tier
-75.9
VORP
Market
149.6
ADP · 13.06
123-180
draft range
122
expert ECR
100-152
expert range
-83
Nova vs market rank
-83
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
66
floor (P10)
182
median (budget)
328
ceiling (P90)
7%
P(tier-1 season)
17%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB16-QB44
likely finish (P25-P75)
Tyler Shough is Nova's 249th-ranked player overall (QB, NO), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 182 points this season, about 14.74 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 150, ahead of Nova's 249.
Nova gives him about a 7% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 66 points (floor) to 328 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 249 | T6 | -75.9 | 7% | QB16-QB44 | 65.6-328.2 |
| Half PPR | 302 | T6 | -75.9 | 7% | QB16-QB44 | 65.6-328.2 |
| Standard | 452 | T7 | -75.9 | 7% | QB16-QB44 | 65.6-328.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 154 | T8 | -27.4 | 7% | QB16-QB44 | 65.6-328.2 |
Nova season stat lines12.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 212.3 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.3 |
| Passing Yards | 2721.9 |
| Passing TDs | 12.1 |
2025 usage profile11 games
84%
snap share
4.1
carries / game
16%
team carry share
4.1
yards / carry
14
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.3
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
-2.1
TD pace vs position (13 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
15
rush yards before contact / g
3.6
rush yards after contact / g
74
times pressured
18.3%
pressure rate faced
73
times blitzed
31
times sacked
28
times hurried
15
times hit
22.7%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | NO vs SEA | 0-0-0 pass | 0.0 |
| W8 | NO vs TB | 128-0-1 pass, 3-12-0 rush | 4.3 |
| W9 | NO vs LA | 176-1-1 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 9.2 |
| W10 | NO vs CAR | 282-2-0 pass, 4--3-0 rush | 19.0 |
| W12 | NO vs ATL | 243-0-1 pass, 7-22-0 rush | 7.9 |
| W13 | NO vs MIA | 239-2-1 pass, 6-18-0 rush | 17.4 |
| W14 | NO vs TB | 144-0-1 pass, 7-55-2 rush | 21.3 |
| W15 | NO vs CAR | 272-1-0 pass, 8-32-0 rush | 18.1 |
| W16 | NO vs NYJ | 308-1-0 pass, 2-8-0 rush | 17.1 |
| W17 | NO vs TEN | 333-2-0 pass, 4-6-0 rush | 21.9 |
| W18 | NO vs ATL | 259-1-1 pass, 3-34-1 rush | 21.8 |