Home
Draft
Draft War RoomPreseason RankingsMock DraftRookie BoardHandcuff FinderStrength of ScheduleBye PlannerCheat SheetValues & ReachesScarcity CurveStack Finder
In-Season
Weekly ProjectionsWaiver WireInjury WatchScenariosLineup OptimizerTrendingScores
Tools
CompareTrade AnalyzerWhat-IfMy LeagueConnect LeagueTrade FinderTeamsRoster Report CardExport
Research
Divergence WatchLine MoversSignal LibraryArmchair QBAsk NovaFloor / CeilingOpportunityConsistency
About
MethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the Model

Ty Johnson

RBBUF · bye 7DNA B

← back to rankings

Nova projection
78season budget (pts)
5.03
PPR / game
273
Nova rank
T6
tier
-81.9
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
260
expert ECR
167-393
expert range
-13
Nova vs market rank
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
7822floor P10157ceiling P90
22
floor (P10)
78
median (budget)
157
ceiling (P90)
2%
P(tier-1 season)
7%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB45-RB76
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 1.013x position norm · 43 games · 5.22 mean PPR
Early SOS 10.2 (tough)Playoff SOS 13.7Bye 7

Ty Johnson is Nova's 273rd-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 78 points this season, about 5.03 per game.

There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.

Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 22 points (floor) to 157 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR273T6-81.92%RB45-RB7621.5-157.3
Half PPR295T6-74.72%RB45-RB7619.1-139.8
Standard333T7-66.22%RB46-RB7616.7-122.3
2QB / Superflex297T8-87.22%RB45-RB7621.5-157.3