Tua Tagovailoa
QBATL · bye 11DNA BNova projection
198season budget (pts)
13.92
PPR / game
179
Nova rank
T6
tier
-48.5
VORP
Market
139.6
ADP · 12.08
108-178
draft range
n/a
expert ECR
-43
Nova vs market rank
-43
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
77
floor (P10)
198
median (budget)
385
ceiling (P90)
12%
P(tier-1 season)
27%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB12-QB38
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.948x position norm · 42 games · 14.59 mean PPR
Tua Tagovailoa is Nova's 179th-ranked player overall (QB, ATL), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 198 points this season, about 13.92 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 12% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 77 points (floor) to 385 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 179 | T6 | -48.5 | 12% | QB12-QB38 | 77.3-385 |
| Half PPR | 192 | T6 | -48.5 | 12% | QB12-QB38 | 77.3-385 |
| Standard | 226 | T7 | -48.5 | 12% | QB12-QB38 | 77.3-385 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 101 | T8 | 0 | 12% | QB12-QB38 | 77.3-385 |