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Tony Pollard

RBTEN · bye 9DNA S+

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Nova projection
171season budget (pts)
10.49
PPR / game
76
Nova rank
T6
tier
14.8
VORP
Market
72.5
ADP · 7.01
64-82
draft range
75
expert ECR
60-119
expert range
-1
Nova vs market rank
-1
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
17149floor P10357ceiling P90
49
floor (P10)
171
median (budget)
357
ceiling (P90)
20%
P(tier-1 season)
41%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB15-RB51
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S+ · Elite consistency
volatility 0.78x position norm · 50 games · 12.18 mean PPR
Early SOS 20.3Playoff SOS 13Bye 9

Tony Pollard is Nova's 76th-ranked player overall (RB, TEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 171 points this season, about 10.49 per game.

Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 73, Nova 76).

Nova gives him about a 20% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 49 points (floor) to 357 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR76T614.820%RB15-RB5148.6-356.5
Half PPR71T513.419%RB15-RB5143.8-321.1
Standard70T713.219%RB16-RB5139-285.8
2QB / Superflex88T89.620%RB15-RB5148.6-356.5

Nova season stat lines16.3 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards206.7
Receptions34.5
Rushing Yards918.4
Rushing TDs4.5

2025 usage profile17 games

63%
snap share
2.4
targets / game
8%
team target share
0%
air yards share
0.114
WOPR (opportunity)
1.9
receptions / game
81%
catch rate
5
yards / target
0.7
air yards / game
14.2
carries / game
64%
team carry share
4.5
yards / carry
20
red-zone opportunities (3 TDs)
+0.5
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
-0.2
TD pace vs position (5 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

18
broken tackles forced
37.6
rush yards before contact / g
26
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
10%
drop rate
74.8
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1TEN vs DEN18-60-0 rush, 1-29 rec7.9
W2TEN vs LA20-92-0 rush, 0-0 rec9.2
W3TEN vs IND16-45-1 rush, 2-14 rec13.9
W4TEN vs HOU14-64-0 rush, 3-12 rec10.6
W5TEN vs ARI14-67-1 rush, 3-11 rec14.8
W6TEN vs LV10-34-0 rush, 2-13 rec6.7
W7TEN vs NE6-18-0 rush, 6-43 rec12.1
W8TEN vs IND11-44-0 rush, 1-9 rec6.3
W9TEN vs LAC10-56-0 rush, 1-12 rec7.8
W11TEN vs HOU10-22-0 rush, 3-4 rec5.6
W12TEN vs SEA11-20-0 rush, 4-21 rec8.1
W13TEN vs JAX10-60-0 rush, 1-3 rec5.3
W14TEN vs CLE25-161-2 rush28.1
W15TEN vs SF14-104-1 rush, 1-8 rec18.2
W16TEN vs KC21-102-0 rush10.2
W17TEN vs NO18-85-0 rush, 2-10 rec11.5
W18TEN vs JAX14-48-0 rush, 3-17 rec9.5