Sam Howell
QBSEA · bye 11DNA HNova projection
142season budget (pts)
14.48
PPR / game
405
Nova rank
T6
tier
-108.5
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
n/a
expert ECR
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
55
floor (P10)
142
median (budget)
274
ceiling (P90)
3%
P(tier-1 season)
10%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB22-QB51
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.21x position norm · 18 games · 14.26 mean PPR
Sam Howell is Nova's 405th-ranked player overall (QB, SEA), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 142 points this season, about 14.48 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 55 points (floor) to 274 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 405 | T6 | -108.5 | 3% | QB22-QB51 | 54.9-273.7 |
| Half PPR | 608 | T6 | -108.8 | 3% | QB22-QB51 | 54.8-273.3 |
| Standard | 823 | T7 | -109 | 3% | QB22-QB51 | 54.7-272.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 209 | T8 | -60.1 | 3% | QB22-QB51 | 54.9-273.7 |