Rome Odunze
WRCHI · bye 10DNA VNova projection
153season budget (pts)
10.64
PPR / game
115
Nova rank
T6
tier
-8.2
VORP
Market
55.0
ADP · 5.07
45-71
draft range
58
expert ECR
38-80
expert range
-60
Nova vs market rank
-60
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
61
floor (P10)
153
median (budget)
262
ceiling (P90)
10%
P(tier-1 season)
22%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR27-WR81
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.09x position norm · 29 games · 10.03 mean PPR
Market coverage
-10
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Rome Odunze is Nova's 115th-ranked player overall (WR, CHI), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 153 points this season, about 10.64 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 55, ahead of Nova's 115.
Nova gives him about a 10% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 61 points (floor) to 262 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). Nova sits below the Vegas market on him (divergence -10). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 115 | T6 | -8.2 | 10% | WR27-WR81 | 60.8-261.9 |
| Half PPR | 112 | T6 | -6.9 | 10% | WR26-WR80 | 50.8-219 |
| Standard | 105 | T7 | -2.3 | 11% | WR25-WR77 | 40.9-176.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 124 | T8 | -10.2 | 10% | WR27-WR81 | 60.8-261.9 |
Nova season stat lines14.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 720.8 |
| Receptions | 50.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 5.1 |
| Rushing Yards | 6.6 |
2025 usage profile12 games
88%
snap share
7.5
targets / game
24%
team target share
35%
air yards share
0.602
WOPR (opportunity)
3.7
receptions / game
49%
catch rate
7.3
yards / target
104.3
air yards / game
13
red-zone opportunities (3 TDs)
+0.4
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+3.7
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
1
broken tackles forced
2
drops
1.6%
drop rate
75.6
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 5.5 | 55% over | 5.1 | -7.3% |
| Receiving Yards | 799.5 | 50% over | 720.8 | -9.8% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CHI vs MIN | 6-37-1 (9 tgt) | 15.7 |
| W2 | CHI vs DET | 7-128-2 (11 tgt) | 31.8 |
| W3 | CHI vs DAL | 3-62-1 (7 tgt) | 15.2 |
| W4 | CHI vs LV | 4-69-1 (8 tgt) | 16.9 |
| W6 | CHI vs WAS | 2-32-0 (5 tgt) | 5.2 |
| W7 | CHI vs NO | 2-31-0 (6 tgt) | 5.1 |
| W8 | CHI vs BAL | 7-114-0 (10 tgt) | 18.4 |
| W9 | CHI vs CIN | 0-0-0 (3 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W10 | CHI vs NYG | 6-86-1 (10 tgt) | 20.6 |
| W11 | CHI vs MIN | 2-41-0 (6 tgt) | 6.1 |
| W12 | CHI vs PIT | 3-53-0 (9 tgt) | 8.3 |
| W13 | CHI vs PHI | 2-8-0 (6 tgt) | 2.8 |