Home
Draft
Draft War RoomPreseason RankingsMock DraftRookie BoardHandcuff FinderStrength of ScheduleBye PlannerCheat SheetValues & ReachesScarcity CurveStack Finder
In-Season
Weekly ProjectionsWaiver WireInjury WatchScenariosLineup OptimizerTrendingScores
Tools
CompareTrade AnalyzerWhat-IfMy LeagueConnect LeagueTrade FinderTeamsRoster Report CardExport
Research
Divergence WatchLine MoversSignal LibraryArmchair QBAsk NovaFloor / CeilingOpportunityConsistency
About
MethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the Model

Ricky Pearsall

WRSF · bye 8DNA X

← back to rankings

Nova projection
104season budget (pts)
9.09
PPR / game
199
Nova rank
T6
tier
-57.7
VORP
Market
103.6
ADP · 9.08
78-117
draft range
104
expert ECR
81-200
expert range
-89
Nova vs market rank
-89
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
10439floor P10182ceiling P90
39
floor (P10)
104
median (budget)
182
ceiling (P90)
2%
P(tier-1 season)
7%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR52-WR111
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
X · Extreme boom/bust
volatility 1.221x position norm · 20 games · 9.11 mean PPR
Early SOS 14.8Playoff SOS 9 (tough)Bye 8

Ricky Pearsall is Nova's 199th-ranked player overall (WR, SF), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 104 points this season, about 9.09 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 104, ahead of Nova's 199.

Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 39 points (floor) to 182 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades X (Extreme boom/bust). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR199T6-57.72%WR52-WR11139.1-182.2
Half PPR201T6-50.82%WR53-WR11231.7-147.9
Standard201T7-40.72%WR54-WR11324.4-113.6
2QB / Superflex205T8-59.72%WR52-WR11139.1-182.2

Nova season stat lines11.5 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards547.7
Receptions39.2
Receiving TDs1.4
Rushing Yards17.7

2025 usage profile9 games

78%
snap share
5.9
targets / game
18%
team target share
32%
air yards share
0.492
WOPR (opportunity)
4
receptions / game
68%
catch rate
10
yards / target
83.1
air yards / game
4
red-zone opportunities (0 TDs)
-0.8
TD equity (under pace, due)
-1.7
TD pace vs position (0 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

2
broken tackles forced
-4.5
rush yards before contact / g
3.5
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
1.4%
drop rate
76.2
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1SF vs SEA4-108-0 (7 tgt)14.8
W2SF vs NO4-56-0 (6 tgt), 1--4 rush9.2
W3SF vs ARI8-117-0 (11 tgt)19.7
W4SF vs JAX4-46-0 (5 tgt)8.6
W11SF vs ARI1-0-0 (2 tgt)1.0
W12SF vs CAR2-6-0 (4 tgt), 1-2 rush2.8
W13SF vs CLE2-14-0 (3 tgt)3.4
W15SF vs TEN6-96-0 (7 tgt)15.6
W17SF vs CHI5-85-0 (8 tgt)13.5