Parker Washington
WRJAX · bye 7DNA HNova projection
137season budget (pts)
9.54
PPR / game
156
Nova rank
T6
tier
-33.5
VORP
Market
74.7
ADP · 7.03
57-87
draft range
91
expert ECR
65-132
expert range
-78
Nova vs market rank
-78
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
49
floor (P10)
137
median (budget)
221
ceiling (P90)
5%
P(tier-1 season)
13%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR38-WR96
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.113x position norm · 38 games · 8.44 mean PPR
Parker Washington is Nova's 156th-ranked player overall (WR, JAX), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 137 points this season, about 9.54 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 75, ahead of Nova's 156.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 49 points (floor) to 221 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 156 | T6 | -33.5 | 5% | WR38-WR96 | 48.7-220.6 |
| Half PPR | 156 | T6 | -29.2 | 5% | WR37-WR95 | 40.3-182.5 |
| Standard | 148 | T7 | -21.6 | 5% | WR37-WR94 | 31.9-144.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 165 | T8 | -35.5 | 5% | WR38-WR96 | 48.7-220.6 |
Nova season stat lines14.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 599.4 |
| Receptions | 44.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 4 |
2025 usage profile16 games
61%
snap share
5.9
targets / game
18%
team target share
24%
air yards share
0.439
WOPR (opportunity)
3.6
receptions / game
61%
catch rate
8.9
yards / target
74.2
air yards / game
0.4
carries / game
2%
team carry share
0
yards / carry
17
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
+0.7
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+1.9
TD pace vs position (5 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
5
broken tackles forced
-1.2
rush yards before contact / g
1.2
rush yards after contact / g
7
drops
4.6%
drop rate
90.4
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | JAX vs CAR | 0-0-0 (0 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W2 | JAX vs CIN | 5-76-0 (5 tgt) | 12.6 |
| W3 | JAX vs HOU | 4-34-0 (11 tgt) | 7.4 |
| W4 | JAX vs SF | 0-0-0 (2 tgt), 1--1 rush | 5.9 |
| W5 | JAX vs KC | 2-16-1 (3 tgt) | 9.6 |
| W6 | JAX vs SEA | 2-29-0 (4 tgt) | 4.9 |
| W7 | JAX vs LA | 4-52-0 (10 tgt), 3-10 rush | 10.2 |
| W9 | JAX vs LV | 8-90-0 (9 tgt) | 17.0 |
| W10 | JAX vs HOU | 3-33-1 (7 tgt), 2--4 rush | 17.9 |
| W11 | JAX vs LAC | 2-20-0 (2 tgt) | 4.0 |
| W12 | JAX vs ARI | 5-71-1 (7 tgt) | 18.1 |
| W13 | JAX vs TEN | 1-26-0 (3 tgt) | 3.6 |
| W15 | JAX vs NYJ | 3-53-0 (3 tgt) | 8.3 |
| W16 | JAX vs DEN | 6-145-1 (10 tgt) | 26.5 |
| W17 | JAX vs IND | 8-115-0 (10 tgt), 1--5 rush | 19.0 |
| W18 | JAX vs TEN | 5-87-1 (9 tgt) | 19.7 |