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Matthew Golden

WRGB · bye 11ROOKIE/NA

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Nova projection
80season budget (pts)
5.54
PPR / game
275
Nova rank
T6
tier
-82
VORP
Market
113.6
ADP · 10.06
97-123
draft range
140
expert ECR
109-277
expert range
-157
Nova vs market rank
-157
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
8030floor P10138ceiling P90
30
floor (P10)
80
median (budget)
138
ceiling (P90)
1%
P(tier-1 season)
3%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR72-WR124
likely finish (P25-P75)
Early SOS 19.5Playoff SOS 14.7Bye 11

Matthew Golden is Nova's 275th-ranked player overall (WR, GB), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 80 points this season, about 5.54 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 114, ahead of Nova's 275.

Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 30 points (floor) to 138 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR275T6-821%WR72-WR12430.3-137.5
Half PPR279T6-71.81%WR75-WR12624.1-109.5
Standard281T7-58.41%WR78-WR12818-81.5
2QB / Superflex284T8-841%WR72-WR12430.3-137.5

Nova season stat lines14.4 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards405.4
Receptions32.5
Rushing Yards49.5

2025 usage profile14 games

53%
snap share
3.1
targets / game
12%
team target share
19%
air yards share
0.322
WOPR (opportunity)
2.1
receptions / game
66%
catch rate
8.2
yards / target
39.4
air yards / game
0.7
carries / game
2%
team carry share
4.9
yards / carry
4
red-zone opportunities (0 TDs)
-0.6
TD equity (under pace, due)
-2.7
TD pace vs position (0 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

1
broken tackles forced
5.4
rush yards before contact / g
4.4
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
2.4%
drop rate
73.7
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1GB vs DET2-16-0 (2 tgt)3.6
W2GB vs WAS0-0-0 (2 tgt), 2-15 rush1.5
W3GB vs CLE4-52-0 (4 tgt), 3-9 rush10.1
W4GB vs DAL5-58-0 (6 tgt), 1-5 rush11.3
W6GB vs CIN3-86-0 (5 tgt), 2-16 rush13.2
W7GB vs ARI4-37-0 (4 tgt)7.7
W8GB vs PIT3-4-0 (3 tgt)3.4
W9GB vs CAR2-9-0 (3 tgt)2.9
W11GB vs NYG1-24-0 (3 tgt)3.4
W14GB vs CHI0-0-0 (1 tgt)0.0
W15GB vs DEN3-55-0 (4 tgt)8.5
W16GB vs CHI0-0-0 (1 tgt), 2-4 rush0.4
W17GB vs BAL1-12-0 (3 tgt)2.2
W18GB vs MIN1-8-0 (3 tgt)1.8