Malik Nabers
WRNYG · bye 8DNA VNova projection
175season budget (pts)
16.88
PPR / game
78
Nova rank
T6
tier
11.7
VORP
Market
43.0
ADP · 4.07
31-52
draft range
33
expert ECR
11-69
expert range
-34
Nova vs market rank
-34
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
67
floor (P10)
175
median (budget)
292
ceiling (P90)
13%
P(tier-1 season)
29%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR22-WR73
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.061x position norm · 19 games · 17.41 mean PPR
Malik Nabers is Nova's 78th-ranked player overall (WR, NYG), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 175 points this season, about 16.88 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 43, ahead of Nova's 78.
Nova gives him about a 13% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 67 points (floor) to 292 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 78 | T6 | 11.7 | 13% | WR22-WR73 | 66.7-292.4 |
| Half PPR | 78 | T6 | 5.4 | 13% | WR22-WR74 | 54.1-237.2 |
| Standard | 84 | T7 | 2.3 | 12% | WR24-WR75 | 41.5-181.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 87 | T8 | 9.7 | 13% | WR22-WR73 | 66.7-292.4 |
Nova season stat lines10.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 783.6 |
| Receptions | 65.6 |
| Receiving TDs | 4.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 2 |
2025 usage profile4 games
80%
snap share
8.8
targets / game
27%
team target share
44%
air yards share
0.713
WOPR (opportunity)
4.5
receptions / game
51%
catch rate
7.7
yards / target
138.8
air yards / game
4
red-zone opportunities (0 TDs)
-0.8
TD equity (under pace, due)
+1.2
TD pace vs position (2 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
1
drops
1.9%
drop rate
66.6
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | NYG vs WAS | 5-71-0 (12 tgt) | 12.1 |
| W2 | NYG vs DAL | 9-167-2 (13 tgt) | 37.7 |
| W3 | NYG vs KC | 2-13-0 (7 tgt) | 3.3 |
| W4 | NYG vs LAC | 2-20-0 (3 tgt) | 4.0 |