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Ladd McConkey

WRLAC · bye 7DNA S

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Nova projection
201season budget (pts)
12.69
PPR / game
41
Nova rank
T6
tier
38.6
VORP
Market
36.6
ADP · 4.01
24-47
draft range
46
expert ECR
26-69
expert range
-3
Nova vs market rank
-3
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
20177floor P10334ceiling P90
77
floor (P10)
201
median (budget)
334
ceiling (P90)
19%
P(tier-1 season)
37%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR16-WR62
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.893x position norm · 32 games · 13.18 mean PPR
Market coverage
+15
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Nova above marketEarly SOS 11.3Playoff SOS 15.3Bye 7

Ladd McConkey is Nova's 41st-ranked player overall (WR, LAC), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 201 points this season, about 12.69 per game.

Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 37, Nova 41).

Nova gives him about a 19% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 77 points (floor) to 334 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). Nova projects him above the Vegas market here (divergence +15). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR41T638.619%WR16-WR6277.2-334.1
Half PPR47T529.519%WR16-WR6263.5-274.8
Standard52T723.619%WR16-WR6149.8-215.4
2QB / Superflex52T836.619%WR16-WR6277.2-334.1

Nova season stat lines15.8 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards913.4
Receptions71.2
Receiving TDs6.3

2025 usage profile16 games

78%
snap share
6.6
targets / game
21%
team target share
26%
air yards share
0.499
WOPR (opportunity)
4.1
receptions / game
62%
catch rate
7.4
yards / target
65.4
air yards / game
15
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
+1
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+2.9
TD pace vs position (6 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

5
broken tackles forced
6
drops
5.1%
drop rate
85.3
passer rating when targeted

Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection

StatDK lineMarket leanNovaΔ%
Receiving TDs5.553% over6.3+14.5%
Receiving Yards849.550% over913.4+7.5%

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1LAC vs KC6-74-0 (9 tgt)13.4
W2LAC vs LV5-48-0 (5 tgt)9.8
W3LAC vs DEN4-41-0 (7 tgt)8.1
W4LAC vs NYG1-11-0 (6 tgt)2.1
W5LAC vs WAS5-39-1 (7 tgt)14.9
W6LAC vs MIA7-100-1 (9 tgt)23.0
W7LAC vs IND9-67-0 (15 tgt)15.7
W8LAC vs MIN6-88-1 (10 tgt)20.8
W9LAC vs TEN4-56-0 (6 tgt)9.6
W10LAC vs PIT4-107-1 (6 tgt)20.7
W11LAC vs JAX3-13-0 (4 tgt)4.3
W13LAC vs LV4-39-1 (6 tgt)13.9
W14LAC vs PHI1-12-0 (5 tgt)2.2
W15LAC vs KC2-20-0 (3 tgt)4.0
W16LAC vs DAL4-43-1 (6 tgt)14.3
W17LAC vs HOU1-31-0 (2 tgt)4.1