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Kenneth Walker III

RBKC · bye 5DNA B

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Nova projection
183season budget (pts)
12.22
PPR / game
64
Nova rank
T6
tier
24.3
VORP
Market
22.7
ADP · 2.11
15-29
draft range
25
expert ECR
15-52
expert range
-41
Nova vs market rank
-41
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
18349floor P10373ceiling P90
49
floor (P10)
183
median (budget)
373
ceiling (P90)
21%
P(tier-1 season)
42%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB15-RB50
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.951x position norm · 43 games · 13.31 mean PPR
Early SOS 12.8Playoff SOS 10.7 (tough)Bye 5

Kenneth Walker III is Nova's 64th-ranked player overall (RB, KC), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 183 points this season, about 12.22 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 23, ahead of Nova's 64.

Nova gives him about a 21% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 49 points (floor) to 373 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR64T624.321%RB15-RB5049.4-372.6
Half PPR58T523.221%RB14-RB4944.9-338.2
Standard54T723.421%RB15-RB4940.3-303.8
2QB / Superflex75T819.121%RB15-RB5049.4-372.6

Nova season stat lines15 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards272.3
Receptions33.9
Rushing Yards833.8
Rushing TDs6

2025 usage profile17 games

47%
snap share
2.1
targets / game
8%
team target share
-2%
air yards share
0.109
WOPR (opportunity)
1.8
receptions / game
86%
catch rate
7.8
yards / target
-2.4
air yards / game
13
carries / game
44%
team carry share
4.6
yards / carry
37
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
-0.7
TD equity (under pace, due)
-0.2
TD pace vs position (5 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

28
broken tackles forced
36.5
rush yards before contact / g
23.9
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
5.2%
drop rate
92.2
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1SEA vs SF10-20-0 rush, 3-4 rec5.4
W2SEA vs PIT13-105-1 rush, 1-13 rec18.8
W3SEA vs NO16-38-2 rush, 1-12 rec18.0
W4SEA vs ARI19-81-0 rush, 1-29 rec12.0
W5SEA vs TB10-86-0 rush, 1-0 rec9.6
W6SEA vs JAX10-34-0 rush, 1-3 rec4.7
W7SEA vs HOU17-66-0 rush6.6
W9SEA vs WAS11-42-0 rush, 2-19 rec8.1
W10SEA vs ARI14-67-0 rush, 1-3 rec8.0
W11SEA vs LA16-67-1 rush, 3-44 rec20.1
W12SEA vs TEN11-71-0 rush, 3-30 rec13.1
W13SEA vs MIN13-56-0 rush, 3-18 rec10.4
W14SEA vs ATL10-29-0 rush, 1--1 rec3.8
W15SEA vs IND9-17-0 rush, 1-2 rec2.9
W16SEA vs LA11-100-1 rush, 3-64 rec25.4
W17SEA vs CAR15-51-0 rush, 2-6 rec7.7
W18SEA vs SF16-97-0 rush, 4-36 rec17.3