Kenneth Walker III
RBKC · bye 5DNA BNova projection
183season budget (pts)
12.22
PPR / game
64
Nova rank
T6
tier
24.3
VORP
Market
22.7
ADP · 2.11
15-29
draft range
25
expert ECR
15-52
expert range
-41
Nova vs market rank
-41
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
49
floor (P10)
183
median (budget)
373
ceiling (P90)
21%
P(tier-1 season)
42%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB15-RB50
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.951x position norm · 43 games · 13.31 mean PPR
Kenneth Walker III is Nova's 64th-ranked player overall (RB, KC), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 183 points this season, about 12.22 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 23, ahead of Nova's 64.
Nova gives him about a 21% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 49 points (floor) to 373 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 64 | T6 | 24.3 | 21% | RB15-RB50 | 49.4-372.6 |
| Half PPR | 58 | T5 | 23.2 | 21% | RB14-RB49 | 44.9-338.2 |
| Standard | 54 | T7 | 23.4 | 21% | RB15-RB49 | 40.3-303.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 75 | T8 | 19.1 | 21% | RB15-RB50 | 49.4-372.6 |
Nova season stat lines15 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 272.3 |
| Receptions | 33.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 833.8 |
| Rushing TDs | 6 |
2025 usage profile17 games
47%
snap share
2.1
targets / game
8%
team target share
-2%
air yards share
0.109
WOPR (opportunity)
1.8
receptions / game
86%
catch rate
7.8
yards / target
-2.4
air yards / game
13
carries / game
44%
team carry share
4.6
yards / carry
37
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
-0.7
TD equity (under pace, due)
-0.2
TD pace vs position (5 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
28
broken tackles forced
36.5
rush yards before contact / g
23.9
rush yards after contact / g
2
drops
5.2%
drop rate
92.2
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SEA vs SF | 10-20-0 rush, 3-4 rec | 5.4 |
| W2 | SEA vs PIT | 13-105-1 rush, 1-13 rec | 18.8 |
| W3 | SEA vs NO | 16-38-2 rush, 1-12 rec | 18.0 |
| W4 | SEA vs ARI | 19-81-0 rush, 1-29 rec | 12.0 |
| W5 | SEA vs TB | 10-86-0 rush, 1-0 rec | 9.6 |
| W6 | SEA vs JAX | 10-34-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 4.7 |
| W7 | SEA vs HOU | 17-66-0 rush | 6.6 |
| W9 | SEA vs WAS | 11-42-0 rush, 2-19 rec | 8.1 |
| W10 | SEA vs ARI | 14-67-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 8.0 |
| W11 | SEA vs LA | 16-67-1 rush, 3-44 rec | 20.1 |
| W12 | SEA vs TEN | 11-71-0 rush, 3-30 rec | 13.1 |
| W13 | SEA vs MIN | 13-56-0 rush, 3-18 rec | 10.4 |
| W14 | SEA vs ATL | 10-29-0 rush, 1--1 rec | 3.8 |
| W15 | SEA vs IND | 9-17-0 rush, 1-2 rec | 2.9 |
| W16 | SEA vs LA | 11-100-1 rush, 3-64 rec | 25.4 |
| W17 | SEA vs CAR | 15-51-0 rush, 2-6 rec | 7.7 |
| W18 | SEA vs SF | 16-97-0 rush, 4-36 rec | 17.3 |