KC Concepcion
WRCLE · bye 11ROOKIE/NANova projection
131*season budget (pts)
151
Nova rank
T6
tier
-30.5
VORP
* draft-capital prior (round 1, pick 24), not a projection.
Market
119.8
ADP · 10.12
100-142
draft range
135
expert ECR
88-311
expert range
-27
Nova vs market rank
-27
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
7
floor (P10)
131
median (budget)
299
ceiling (P90)
13%
P(tier-1 season)
22%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR28-WR135
likely finish (P25-P75)
KC Concepcion is Nova's 151st-ranked player overall (WR, CLE), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 131 points this season (rookie draft-capital prior, directional).
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 120, ahead of Nova's 151.
Nova gives him about a 13% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 7 points (floor) to 299 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 151 | T6 | -30.5 | 13% | WR28-WR135 | 6.9-298.6 |
| Half PPR | 150 | T6 | -27.7 | 13% | WR28-WR134 | 5.7-244.8 |
| Standard | 149 | T7 | -21.7 | 12% | WR29-WR134 | 4.4-191 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 162 | T8 | -32.5 | 13% | WR28-WR135 | 6.9-298.6 |
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
No 2025 games (rookie season).