Kaelon Black
RBSF · bye 8ROOKIE/NANova projection
87*season budget (pts)
241
Nova rank
T6
tier
-72.6
VORP
* draft-capital prior (round 3, pick 90), not a projection.
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
294
expert ECR
155-321
expert range
+53
Nova vs market rank
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
4
floor (P10)
87
median (budget)
199
ceiling (P90)
5%
P(tier-1 season)
13%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB38-RB83
likely finish (P25-P75)
Kaelon Black is Nova's 241st-ranked player overall (RB, SF), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 87 points this season (rookie draft-capital prior, directional).
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 4 points (floor) to 199 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 241 | T6 | -72.6 | 5% | RB38-RB83 | 4.1-199.2 |
| Half PPR | 245 | T6 | -65.3 | 4% | RB39-RB83 | 3.7-179.5 |
| Standard | 272 | T7 | -56.8 | 4% | RB39-RB83 | 3.3-159.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 262 | T8 | -77.9 | 5% | RB38-RB83 | 4.1-199.2 |