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Kaelon Black

RBSF · bye 8ROOKIE/NA

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Nova projection
87*season budget (pts)
241
Nova rank
T6
tier
-72.6
VORP
* draft-capital prior (round 3, pick 90), not a projection.
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
294
expert ECR
155-321
expert range
+53
Nova vs market rank
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
874floor P10199ceiling P90
4
floor (P10)
87
median (budget)
199
ceiling (P90)
5%
P(tier-1 season)
13%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB38-RB83
likely finish (P25-P75)
Early SOS 16.7Playoff SOS 10.3 (tough)Bye 8Rookie

Kaelon Black is Nova's 241st-ranked player overall (RB, SF), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 87 points this season (rookie draft-capital prior, directional).

There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.

Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 4 points (floor) to 199 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR241T6-72.65%RB38-RB834.1-199.2
Half PPR245T6-65.34%RB39-RB833.7-179.5
Standard272T7-56.84%RB39-RB833.3-159.9
2QB / Superflex262T8-77.95%RB38-RB834.1-199.2