Josh Jacobs
RBGB · bye 11DNA BNova projection
214season budget (pts)
14.01
PPR / game
26
Nova rank
T5
tier
58.7
VORP
Market
28.8
ADP · 3.05
22-39
draft range
34
expert ECR
17-47
expert range
+5
Nova vs market rank
+5
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
59
floor (P10)
214
median (budget)
438
ceiling (P90)
30%
P(tier-1 season)
52%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB10-RB44
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.915x position norm · 45 games · 15.81 mean PPR
Josh Jacobs is Nova's 26th-ranked player overall (RB, GB), in Tier 5. Nova projects roughly 214 points this season, about 14.01 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 29, Nova 26).
Nova gives him about a 30% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 59 points (floor) to 438 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 26 | T5 | 58.7 | 30% | RB10-RB44 | 59.4-438 |
| Half PPR | 22 | T5 | 58.4 | 31% | RB10-RB43 | 55-405.7 |
| Standard | 19 | T6 | 59.4 | 32% | RB9-RB42 | 50.6-373.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 38 | T8 | 53.4 | 30% | RB10-RB44 | 59.4-438 |
Nova season stat lines15.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 268.5 |
| Receptions | 32.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 904.2 |
| Rushing TDs | 10.7 |
2025 usage profile15 games
59%
snap share
2.9
targets / game
10%
team target share
-4%
air yards share
0.124
WOPR (opportunity)
2.4
receptions / game
82%
catch rate
6.4
yards / target
-2.6
air yards / game
15.6
carries / game
57%
team carry share
4
yards / carry
58
red-zone opportunities (13 TDs)
+5.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+9.4
TD pace vs position (14 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
17
broken tackles forced
33.5
rush yards before contact / g
28.4
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
2.4%
drop rate
87.8
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | GB vs DET | 19-66-1 rush, 1-4 rec | 14.0 |
| W2 | GB vs WAS | 23-84-1 rush | 14.4 |
| W3 | GB vs CLE | 16-30-0 rush, 5-44 rec | 12.4 |
| W4 | GB vs DAL | 22-86-2 rush, 4-71 rec | 31.7 |
| W6 | GB vs CIN | 18-93-2 rush, 5-57 rec | 32.0 |
| W7 | GB vs ARI | 13-55-2 rush, 1-3 rec | 18.8 |
| W8 | GB vs PIT | 13-33-1 rush, 3-12 rec | 13.5 |
| W9 | GB vs CAR | 17-87-1 rush, 4-13 rec | 20.0 |
| W10 | GB vs PHI | 21-74-1 rush, 5-33 rec | 19.7 |
| W11 | GB vs NYG | 7-40-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 4.0 |
| W13 | GB vs DET | 17-83-0 rush, 1-8 rec | 10.1 |
| W14 | GB vs CHI | 20-86-1 rush, 2-6 rec | 17.2 |
| W15 | GB vs DEN | 12-73-1 rush, 2-19 rec | 23.2 |
| W16 | GB vs CHI | 12-36-0 rush, 2-12 rec | 4.8 |
| W17 | GB vs BAL | 4-3-0 rush, 1-0 rec | 1.3 |