Jordan Mason
RBMIN · bye 6DNA HNova projection
101season budget (pts)
6.74
PPR / game
196
Nova rank
T6
tier
-56.6
VORP
Market
126.7
ADP · 11.07
90-148
draft range
113
expert ECR
87-145
expert range
-66
Nova vs market rank
-66
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
28
floor (P10)
101
median (budget)
209
ceiling (P90)
5%
P(tier-1 season)
15%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB33-RB69
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.172x position norm · 44 games · 6.56 mean PPR
Jordan Mason is Nova's 196th-ranked player overall (RB, MIN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 101 points this season, about 6.74 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 127, ahead of Nova's 196.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 28 points (floor) to 209 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 196 | T6 | -56.6 | 5% | RB33-RB69 | 27.9-209.1 |
| Half PPR | 185 | T6 | -46.2 | 5% | RB31-RB67 | 26.4-198.1 |
| Standard | 176 | T7 | -34.4 | 6% | RB29-RB66 | 24.9-187.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 214 | T8 | -61.8 | 5% | RB33-RB69 | 27.9-209.1 |
Nova season stat lines15 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 60.5 |
| Receptions | 10.8 |
| Rushing Yards | 605.8 |
| Rushing TDs | 4.2 |
2025 usage profile16 games
43%
snap share
1
targets / game
4%
team target share
-2%
air yards share
0.042
WOPR (opportunity)
0.9
receptions / game
88%
catch rate
3.2
yards / target
-3.2
air yards / game
9.9
carries / game
42%
team carry share
4.8
yards / carry
30
red-zone opportunities (6 TDs)
+2.3
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+1.1
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
14
broken tackles forced
23.3
rush yards before contact / g
24.1
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
83.5
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIN vs CHI | 15-68-0 rush, 1-7 rec | 8.5 |
| W2 | MIN vs ATL | 9-30-0 rush, 2-8 rec | 5.8 |
| W3 | MIN vs CIN | 16-116-2 rush | 23.6 |
| W4 | MIN vs PIT | 16-57-0 rush, 3-15 rec | 10.2 |
| W5 | MIN vs CLE | 13-52-1 rush, 3-4 rec | 12.6 |
| W7 | MIN vs PHI | 15-57-1 rush | 11.7 |
| W8 | MIN vs LAC | 4-3-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 1.6 |
| W9 | MIN vs DET | 10-36-0 rush, 1-1 rec | 4.7 |
| W10 | MIN vs BAL | 4-25-0 rush, 1-6 rec | 4.1 |
| W11 | MIN vs CHI | 6-45-1 rush | 10.5 |
| W12 | MIN vs GB | 8-42-0 rush | 4.2 |
| W13 | MIN vs SEA | 6-47-0 rush, 1-1 rec | 5.8 |
| W14 | MIN vs WAS | 11-52-1 rush | 11.2 |
| W15 | MIN vs DAL | 10-29-0 rush | 2.9 |
| W16 | MIN vs NYG | 2-5-0 rush, 1-6 rec | 2.1 |
| W18 | MIN vs GB | 14-94-0 rush | 9.4 |