Jonathan Taylor
RBIND · bye 13DNA HNova projection
256season budget (pts)
17.13
PPR / game
12
Nova rank
T4
tier
97.6
VORP
Market
7.4
ADP · 1.07
2-12
draft range
6
expert ECR
1-15
expert range
-4
Nova vs market rank
-4
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
70
floor (P10)
256
median (budget)
534
ceiling (P90)
39%
P(tier-1 season)
61%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB7-RB37
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.172x position norm · 41 games · 18.62 mean PPR
Jonathan Taylor is Nova's 12th-ranked player overall (RB, IND), in Tier 4. Nova projects roughly 256 points this season, about 17.13 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 7, Nova 12).
Nova gives him about a 39% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 70 points (floor) to 534 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12 | T4 | 97.6 | 39% | RB7-RB37 | 70.1-533.9 |
| Half PPR | 11 | T4 | 98.8 | 41% | RB7-RB35 | 66.1-503.5 |
| Standard | 6 | T4 | 101.3 | 43% | RB6-RB33 | 62.1-473 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 16 | T4 | 92.4 | 39% | RB7-RB37 | 70.1-533.9 |
Nova season stat lines14.9 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 236.2 |
| Receptions | 29.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 1.4 |
| Rushing Yards | 1223.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 12.2 |
2025 usage profile17 games
83%
snap share
3.2
targets / game
11%
team target share
-1%
air yards share
0.157
WOPR (opportunity)
2.7
receptions / game
84%
catch rate
6.9
yards / target
-2.6
air yards / game
19
carries / game
74%
team carry share
4.9
yards / carry
76
red-zone opportunities (16 TDs)
+6.5
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+14.8
TD pace vs position (20 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
35
broken tackles forced
48.6
rush yards before contact / g
44.6
rush yards after contact / g
4
drops
6.5%
drop rate
97.9
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | IND vs MIA | 18-71-0 rush, 3-27 rec | 12.8 |
| W2 | IND vs DEN | 25-165-0 rush, 2-50 rec | 29.5 |
| W3 | IND vs TEN | 17-102-3 rush, 3-16 rec | 32.8 |
| W4 | IND vs LA | 17-76-0 rush, 5-20 rec | 14.6 |
| W5 | IND vs LV | 17-66-3 rush, 3-20 rec | 31.6 |
| W6 | IND vs ARI | 21-123-1 rush, 4-14 rec | 23.7 |
| W7 | IND vs LAC | 16-94-3 rush, 3-38 rec | 34.2 |
| W8 | IND vs TEN | 12-153-2 rush, 2-21 rec | 37.4 |
| W9 | IND vs PIT | 14-45-0 rush, 2-12 rec | 7.7 |
| W10 | IND vs ATL | 32-244-3 rush, 3-42 rec | 49.6 |
| W12 | IND vs KC | 16-58-0 rush, 2-8 rec | 8.6 |
| W13 | IND vs HOU | 21-85-0 rush, 3-36 rec | 15.1 |
| W14 | IND vs JAX | 21-74-1 rush | 11.4 |
| W15 | IND vs SEA | 25-87-0 rush, 3-14 rec | 13.1 |
| W16 | IND vs SF | 16-46-1 rush, 3-33 rec | 16.9 |
| W17 | IND vs JAX | 21-70-1 rush, 3-14 rec | 17.4 |
| W18 | IND vs HOU | 14-26-0 rush, 2-13 rec | 5.9 |