Joe Mixon
RBHOU · bye 8DNA BNova projection
216season budget (pts)
14.13
PPR / game
29
Nova rank
T5
tier
56.7
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
313
expert ECR
151-321
expert range
+284
Nova vs market rank
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
55
floor (P10)
216
median (budget)
433
ceiling (P90)
30%
P(tier-1 season)
52%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB11-RB44
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.944x position norm · 31 games · 16.37 mean PPR
Joe Mixon is Nova's 29th-ranked player overall (RB, HOU), in Tier 5. Nova projects roughly 216 points this season, about 14.13 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 30% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 55 points (floor) to 433 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 29 | T5 | 56.7 | 30% | RB11-RB44 | 55.1-433.1 |
| Half PPR | 24 | T5 | 54.1 | 30% | RB10-RB43 | 50.4-396.2 |
| Standard | 21 | T6 | 52.8 | 31% | RB10-RB42 | 45.7-359.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 39 | T8 | 51.4 | 30% | RB11-RB44 | 55.1-433.1 |