Jaylen Waddle
WRDEN · bye 10DNA SNova projection
171season budget (pts)
11.13
PPR / game
82
Nova rank
T6
tier
8.2
VORP
Market
42.6
ADP · 4.07
35-56
draft range
50
expert ECR
24-65
expert range
-39
Nova vs market rank
-39
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
65
floor (P10)
171
median (budget)
292
ceiling (P90)
13%
P(tier-1 season)
29%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR22-WR74
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.896x position norm · 45 games · 12.05 mean PPR
Jaylen Waddle is Nova's 82nd-ranked player overall (WR, DEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 171 points this season, about 11.13 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 43, ahead of Nova's 82.
Nova gives him about a 13% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 65 points (floor) to 292 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 82 | T6 | 8.2 | 13% | WR22-WR74 | 65.3-292.2 |
| Half PPR | 80 | T6 | 4.7 | 13% | WR22-WR74 | 53.8-240.5 |
| Standard | 79 | T7 | 4.3 | 13% | WR22-WR73 | 42.2-188.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 90 | T8 | 6.2 | 13% | WR22-WR74 | 65.3-292.2 |
Nova season stat lines15.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 827.3 |
| Receptions | 60.1 |
| Receiving TDs | 4.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 18.9 |
| Passing Yards | 3.7 |
2025 usage profile16 games
78%
snap share
6.2
targets / game
23%
team target share
43%
air yards share
0.648
WOPR (opportunity)
4
receptions / game
64%
catch rate
9.1
yards / target
81.6
air yards / game
11
red-zone opportunities (3 TDs)
+0.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+2.9
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
4
broken tackles forced
12.5
rush yards before contact / g
1.5
rush yards after contact / g
5
drops
4.5%
drop rate
86.8
passer rating when targeted
0
times pressured
0%
pressure rate faced
0
times blitzed
0
times sacked
0
times hurried
0
times hit
0%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIA vs IND | 4-30-0 (5 tgt) | 7.0 |
| W2 | MIA vs NE | 5-68-1 (6 tgt) | 17.8 |
| W3 | MIA vs BUF | 5-39-1 (6 tgt) | 14.9 |
| W4 | MIA vs NYJ | 3-48-0 (6 tgt) | 7.8 |
| W5 | MIA vs CAR | 6-110-1 (9 tgt) | 23.0 |
| W6 | MIA vs LAC | 6-95-0 (8 tgt) | 15.8 |
| W7 | MIA vs CLE | 1-15-0 (4 tgt) | 2.5 |
| W8 | MIA vs ATL | 5-99-1 (6 tgt) | 20.9 |
| W9 | MIA vs BAL | 6-82-0 (9 tgt) | 14.2 |
| W10 | MIA vs BUF | 5-84-1 (7 tgt) | 19.4 |
| W11 | MIA vs WAS | 3-52-0 (7 tgt) | 8.2 |
| W13 | MIA vs NO | 3-40-0 (6 tgt) | 7.0 |
| W14 | MIA vs NYJ | 5-50-1 (7 tgt), 1-21 rush | 18.1 |
| W15 | MIA vs PIT | 2-26-0 (4 tgt) | 4.6 |
| W16 | MIA vs CIN | 5-72-0 (9 tgt) | 12.2 |
| W17 | MIA vs TB | 0-0-0 (1 tgt), 1-7 rush | 0.7 |