Jayden Reed
WRGB · bye 11DNA BNova projection
138season budget (pts)
11.33
PPR / game
140
Nova rank
T6
tier
-23.7
VORP
Market
84.1
ADP · 7.12
68-96
draft range
114
expert ECR
88-282
expert range
-55
Nova vs market rank
-55
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
53
floor (P10)
138
median (budget)
236
ceiling (P90)
7%
P(tier-1 season)
16%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR34-WR89
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.955x position norm · 38 games · 12.18 mean PPR
Jayden Reed is Nova's 140th-ranked player overall (WR, GB), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 138 points this season, about 11.33 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 84, ahead of Nova's 140.
Nova gives him about a 7% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 53 points (floor) to 236 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 140 | T6 | -23.7 | 7% | WR34-WR89 | 53.3-236 |
| Half PPR | 134 | T6 | -18.5 | 7% | WR32-WR87 | 45-199.6 |
| Standard | 123 | T7 | -10.2 | 8% | WR30-WR83 | 36.8-163.1 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 149 | T8 | -25.7 | 7% | WR34-WR89 | 53.3-236 |
Nova season stat lines12.2 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 569.2 |
| Receptions | 42.7 |
| Receiving TDs | 4.2 |
| Rushing Yards | 91.3 |
2025 usage profile5 games
41%
snap share
4.4
targets / game
17%
team target share
13%
air yards share
0.344
WOPR (opportunity)
3.8
receptions / game
86%
catch rate
9.4
yards / target
35.8
air yards / game
0.6
carries / game
2%
team carry share
9.3
yards / carry
4
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
+0.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+0
TD pace vs position (1 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
3
broken tackles forced
8
rush yards before contact / g
6
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
3.3%
drop rate
111.6
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | GB vs DET | 3-45-1 (5 tgt) | 13.5 |
| W14 | GB vs CHI | 4-31-0 (4 tgt), 2-22 rush | 9.3 |
| W15 | GB vs DEN | 5-55-0 (6 tgt) | 10.5 |
| W16 | GB vs CHI | 3-35-0 (3 tgt), 1-6 rush | 7.1 |
| W17 | GB vs BAL | 4-41-0 (4 tgt) | 8.1 |