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Jayden Reed

WRGB · bye 11DNA B

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Nova projection
138season budget (pts)
11.33
PPR / game
140
Nova rank
T6
tier
-23.7
VORP
Market
84.1
ADP · 7.12
68-96
draft range
114
expert ECR
88-282
expert range
-55
Nova vs market rank
-55
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
13853floor P10236ceiling P90
53
floor (P10)
138
median (budget)
236
ceiling (P90)
7%
P(tier-1 season)
16%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR34-WR89
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.955x position norm · 38 games · 12.18 mean PPR
Early SOS 19.5Playoff SOS 14.7Bye 11

Jayden Reed is Nova's 140th-ranked player overall (WR, GB), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 138 points this season, about 11.33 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 84, ahead of Nova's 140.

Nova gives him about a 7% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 53 points (floor) to 236 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR140T6-23.77%WR34-WR8953.3-236
Half PPR134T6-18.57%WR32-WR8745-199.6
Standard123T7-10.28%WR30-WR8336.8-163.1
2QB / Superflex149T8-25.77%WR34-WR8953.3-236

Nova season stat lines12.2 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards569.2
Receptions42.7
Receiving TDs4.2
Rushing Yards91.3

2025 usage profile5 games

41%
snap share
4.4
targets / game
17%
team target share
13%
air yards share
0.344
WOPR (opportunity)
3.8
receptions / game
86%
catch rate
9.4
yards / target
35.8
air yards / game
0.6
carries / game
2%
team carry share
9.3
yards / carry
4
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
+0.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+0
TD pace vs position (1 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

3
broken tackles forced
8
rush yards before contact / g
6
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
3.3%
drop rate
111.6
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1GB vs DET3-45-1 (5 tgt)13.5
W14GB vs CHI4-31-0 (4 tgt), 2-22 rush9.3
W15GB vs DEN5-55-0 (6 tgt)10.5
W16GB vs CHI3-35-0 (3 tgt), 1-6 rush7.1
W17GB vs BAL4-41-0 (4 tgt)8.1