Jayden Daniels
QBWAS · bye 7DNA VNova projection
235season budget (pts)
19.33
PPR / game
146
Nova rank
T6
tier
-27.4
VORP
Market
86.6
ADP · 8.03
68-116
draft range
53
expert ECR
29-90
expert range
-56
Nova vs market rank
-56
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
81
floor (P10)
235
median (budget)
404
ceiling (P90)
14%
P(tier-1 season)
30%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB11-QB36
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.081x position norm · 24 games · 19.59 mean PPR
Jayden Daniels is Nova's 146th-ranked player overall (QB, WAS), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 235 points this season, about 19.33 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 87, ahead of Nova's 146.
Nova gives him about a 14% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 81 points (floor) to 404 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 146 | T6 | -27.4 | 14% | QB11-QB36 | 80.7-404.2 |
| Half PPR | 149 | T6 | -27.4 | 14% | QB11-QB36 | 80.7-404.2 |
| Standard | 163 | T7 | -27.4 | 14% | QB11-QB36 | 80.7-404.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 73 | T8 | 21 | 14% | QB11-QB36 | 80.7-404.2 |
Nova season stat lines12.2 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 561.1 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.9 |
| Passing Yards | 2501.5 |
| Passing TDs | 16.8 |
2025 usage profile7 games
90%
snap share
8.3
carries / game
29%
team carry share
4.8
yards / carry
7
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+1.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+0.4
TD pace vs position (10 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
4
broken tackles forced
23.9
rush yards before contact / g
15.9
rush yards after contact / g
41
times pressured
16.7%
pressure rate faced
61
times blitzed
18
times sacked
12
times hurried
11
times hit
14.6%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | WAS vs NYG | 233-1-0 pass, 11-68-0 rush | 20.1 |
| W2 | WAS vs GB | 200-2-0 pass, 7-17-0 rush | 19.7 |
| W5 | WAS vs LAC | 231-1-0 pass, 8-39-0 rush | 17.1 |
| W6 | WAS vs CHI | 211-3-1 pass, 10-52-0 rush | 21.6 |
| W7 | WAS vs DAL | 156-1-0 pass, 8-35-1 rush | 17.7 |
| W9 | WAS vs SEA | 153-0-1 pass, 10-51-1 rush | 15.2 |
| W14 | WAS vs MIN | 78-0-1 pass, 4-16-0 rush | 2.7 |