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Javonte Williams

RBDAL · bye 14DNA S

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Nova projection
189season budget (pts)
11.75
PPR / game
51
Nova rank
T6
tier
32.1
VORP
Market
34.7
ADP · 3.11
23-43
draft range
38
expert ECR
13-55
expert range
-15
Nova vs market rank
-15
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
18950floor P10383ceiling P90
50
floor (P10)
189
median (budget)
383
ceiling (P90)
24%
P(tier-1 season)
46%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB13-RB47
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.887x position norm · 49 games · 11.83 mean PPR
Early SOS 20.3Playoff SOS 14.3Bye 14

Javonte Williams is Nova's 51st-ranked player overall (RB, DAL), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 189 points this season, about 11.75 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 35, ahead of Nova's 51.

Nova gives him about a 24% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 50 points (floor) to 383 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR51T632.124%RB13-RB4750.4-383.3
Half PPR49T528.323%RB13-RB4745.2-344.1
Standard47T725.923%RB14-RB4740-304.8
2QB / Superflex65T826.924%RB13-RB4750.4-383.3

Nova season stat lines16.1 expected games

StatNova projection
Receiving Yards203.3
Receptions39.2
Receiving TDs1.3
Rushing Yards837.8
Rushing TDs6.7

2025 usage profile16 games

69%
snap share
3.2
targets / game
9%
team target share
-2%
air yards share
0.119
WOPR (opportunity)
2.2
receptions / game
69%
catch rate
2.7
yards / target
-4.2
air yards / game
15.8
carries / game
59%
team carry share
4.8
yards / carry
76
red-zone opportunities (13 TDs)
+2.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+8.1
TD pace vs position (13 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

25
broken tackles forced
37.4
rush yards before contact / g
37.6
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
75
passer rating when targeted

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1DAL vs PHI15-54-2 rush, 2-10 rec20.4
W2DAL vs NYG18-97-1 rush, 6-33 rec25.0
W3DAL vs CHI10-76-0 rush, 5-16 rec12.2
W4DAL vs GB20-85-1 rush, 3-15 rec19.0
W5DAL vs NYJ16-135-1 rush, 1-4 rec26.9
W6DAL vs CAR13-29-0 rush, 5-5 rec8.4
W7DAL vs WAS19-116-1 rush, 1-2 rec18.8
W8DAL vs DEN13-41-2 rush, 1-8 rec17.9
W9DAL vs ARI15-83-0 rush, 1-0 rec7.3
W11DAL vs LV22-93-0 rush, 1-0 rec10.3
W12DAL vs PHI20-87-0 rush, 2-14 rec12.1
W13DAL vs KC17-59-0 rush, 3-21 rec17.0
W14DAL vs DET17-67-1 rush, 2-0 rec14.7
W15DAL vs MIN15-91-1 rush15.1
W16DAL vs LAC9-34-0 rush, 2-9 rec6.3
W17DAL vs WAS13-54-1 rush, 0-0 rec11.4