Jameson Williams
WRDET · bye 6DNA VNova projection
188season budget (pts)
12.2
PPR / game
59
Nova rank
T6
tier
26.3
VORP
Market
49.6
ADP · 5.02
37-62
draft range
43
expert ECR
26-61
expert range
-8
Nova vs market rank
-8
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
72
floor (P10)
188
median (budget)
322
ceiling (P90)
17%
P(tier-1 season)
33%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR18-WR67
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.07x position norm · 44 games · 11.65 mean PPR
Market coverage
+5
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Jameson Williams is Nova's 59th-ranked player overall (WR, DET), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 188 points this season, about 12.2 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 50, Nova 59).
Nova gives him about a 17% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 72 points (floor) to 322 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). Nova projects him above the Vegas market here (divergence +5). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 59 | T6 | 26.3 | 17% | WR18-WR67 | 71.6-322 |
| Half PPR | 54 | T5 | 25.4 | 19% | WR17-WR64 | 61.2-275.2 |
| Standard | 46 | T7 | 27.8 | 21% | WR15-WR59 | 50.8-228.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 69 | T8 | 24.3 | 17% | WR18-WR67 | 71.6-322 |
Nova season stat lines15.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 920.7 |
| Receptions | 54.7 |
| Receiving TDs | 5.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 29.7 |
2025 usage profile17 games
90%
snap share
6
targets / game
19%
team target share
32%
air yards share
0.503
WOPR (opportunity)
3.8
receptions / game
64%
catch rate
11
yards / target
75.8
air yards / game
0.4
carries / game
1%
team carry share
2
yards / carry
76
red-zone opportunities (13 TDs)
+2.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+3.7
TD pace vs position (7 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
1
broken tackles forced
1.7
rush yards before contact / g
0.3
rush yards after contact / g
11
drops
9.5%
drop rate
106.9
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 5.5 | 48% over | 5.9 | +7.3% |
| Receiving Yards | 899.5 | 50% over | 920.7 | +2.4% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DET vs GB | 4-23-0 (5 tgt), 1-3 rush | 6.6 |
| W2 | DET vs CHI | 2-108-1 (4 tgt) | 18.8 |
| W3 | DET vs BAL | 2-43-0 (3 tgt) | 6.3 |
| W4 | DET vs CLE | 2-40-0 (8 tgt), 1--3 rush | 5.7 |
| W5 | DET vs CIN | 1-9-0 (1 tgt), 1-1 rush | 2.0 |
| W6 | DET vs KC | 6-66-1 (7 tgt) | 18.6 |
| W7 | DET vs TB | 0-0-0 (2 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W9 | DET vs MIN | 4-66-1 (6 tgt) | 16.6 |
| W10 | DET vs WAS | 6-119-1 (7 tgt) | 23.9 |
| W11 | DET vs PHI | 4-88-1 (7 tgt), 1-9 rush | 19.7 |
| W12 | DET vs NYG | 0-0-0 (3 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W13 | DET vs GB | 7-144-1 (10 tgt), 1--5 rush | 26.9 |
| W14 | DET vs DAL | 7-96-0 (9 tgt), 1-7 rush | 17.3 |
| W15 | DET vs LA | 7-134-1 (10 tgt) | 26.4 |
| W16 | DET vs PIT | 5-70-0 (9 tgt) | 12.0 |
| W17 | DET vs MIN | 2-37-0 (3 tgt) | 5.7 |
| W18 | DET vs CHI | 6-74-0 (8 tgt) | 13.4 |