James Cook III
RBBUF · bye 7DNA BNova projection
247season budget (pts)
15.13
PPR / game
15
Nova rank
T4
tier
91
VORP
Market
14.0
ADP · 2.02
7-21
draft range
10
expert ECR
5-17
expert range
-1
Nova vs market rank
-1
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
71
floor (P10)
247
median (budget)
500
ceiling (P90)
37%
P(tier-1 season)
60%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB8-RB38
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 1.026x position norm · 50 games · 16.03 mean PPR
James Cook III is Nova's 15th-ranked player overall (RB, BUF), in Tier 4. Nova projects roughly 247 points this season, about 15.13 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 14, Nova 15).
Nova gives him about a 37% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 71 points (floor) to 500 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15 | T4 | 91 | 37% | RB8-RB38 | 70.7-499.9 |
| Half PPR | 14 | T4 | 91.1 | 39% | RB7-RB36 | 66.2-468.5 |
| Standard | 10 | T4 | 92.5 | 42% | RB7-RB34 | 61.8-437 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 20 | T5 | 85.8 | 37% | RB8-RB38 | 70.7-499.9 |
Nova season stat lines16.3 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 279.6 |
| Receptions | 31.5 |
| Receiving TDs | 2.1 |
| Rushing Yards | 1188 |
| Rushing TDs | 9.9 |
2025 usage profile17 games
57%
snap share
2.4
targets / game
8%
team target share
1%
air yards share
0.127
WOPR (opportunity)
1.9
receptions / game
83%
catch rate
7.3
yards / target
3.3
air yards / game
18.2
carries / game
58%
team carry share
5.2
yards / carry
59
red-zone opportunities (8 TDs)
+0.7
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+8.8
TD pace vs position (14 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
24
broken tackles forced
55
rush yards before contact / g
40.4
rush yards after contact / g
3
drops
12.5%
drop rate
92.8
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | BUF vs BAL | 13-44-1 rush, 5-58 rec | 21.2 |
| W2 | BUF vs NYJ | 21-132-2 rush, 1-3 rec | 26.5 |
| W3 | BUF vs MIA | 19-108-1 rush, 3-10 rec | 20.8 |
| W4 | BUF vs NO | 22-117-1 rush, 3-18 rec | 22.5 |
| W5 | BUF vs NE | 15-49-0 rush, 0-0 rec | 4.9 |
| W6 | BUF vs ATL | 17-87-0 rush | 8.7 |
| W8 | BUF vs CAR | 19-216-2 rush | 33.6 |
| W9 | BUF vs KC | 27-114-0 rush, 1-11 rec | 13.5 |
| W10 | BUF vs MIA | 13-53-0 rush, 5-24 rec | 10.7 |
| W11 | BUF vs TB | 16-48-0 rush, 3-66 rec | 20.4 |
| W12 | BUF vs HOU | 17-116-1 rush, 3-13 rec | 21.9 |
| W13 | BUF vs PIT | 32-144-0 rush, 3-33 rec | 18.7 |
| W14 | BUF vs CIN | 18-80-0 rush, 2-31 rec | 11.1 |
| W15 | BUF vs NE | 22-107-2 rush, 2-4 rec | 31.1 |
| W16 | BUF vs CLE | 16-117-2 rush, 1-17 rec | 26.4 |
| W17 | BUF vs PHI | 20-74-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 8.7 |
| W18 | BUF vs NYJ | 2-15-0 rush | 1.5 |