Jalen Nailor
WRLV · bye 13DNA VNova projection
84season budget (pts)
5.94
PPR / game
260
Nova rank
T6
tier
-78.4
VORP
Market
132.5
ADP · 11.12
111-150
draft range
213
expert ECR
120-311
expert range
-123
Nova vs market rank
-123
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
32
floor (P10)
84
median (budget)
144
ceiling (P90)
1%
P(tier-1 season)
3%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR69-WR122
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.096x position norm · 35 games · 6.05 mean PPR
Jalen Nailor is Nova's 260th-ranked player overall (WR, LV), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 84 points this season, about 5.94 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 133, ahead of Nova's 260.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 32 points (floor) to 144 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 260 | T6 | -78.4 | 1% | WR69-WR122 | 31.9-143.5 |
| Half PPR | 242 | T6 | -64.1 | 1% | WR66-WR120 | 27.3-122.7 |
| Standard | 219 | T7 | -46.4 | 2% | WR61-WR116 | 22.6-101.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 270 | T8 | -80.4 | 1% | WR69-WR122 | 31.9-143.5 |
Nova season stat lines14.2 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 358.3 |
| Receptions | 24.2 |
| Receiving TDs | 3.8 |
| Rushing Yards | 5.7 |
2025 usage profile17 games
65%
snap share
3.1
targets / game
12%
team target share
17%
air yards share
0.295
WOPR (opportunity)
1.7
receptions / game
55%
catch rate
8.4
yards / target
38.6
air yards / game
13
red-zone opportunities (4 TDs)
+1.4
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+0.7
TD pace vs position (4 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
0.5
rush yards before contact / g
6
rush yards after contact / g
1
drops
2.9%
drop rate
68.4
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | MIN vs CHI | 1-28-0 (3 tgt) | 3.8 |
| W2 | MIN vs ATL | 3-31-0 (5 tgt) | 6.1 |
| W3 | MIN vs CIN | 3-37-0 (5 tgt) | 6.7 |
| W4 | MIN vs PIT | 1-2-1 (4 tgt) | 9.2 |
| W5 | MIN vs CLE | 3-27-0 (4 tgt), 1-15 rush | 7.2 |
| W7 | MIN vs PHI | 2-37-0 (4 tgt) | 5.7 |
| W8 | MIN vs LAC | 0-0-0 (1 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W9 | MIN vs DET | 1-16-0 (4 tgt) | 2.6 |
| W10 | MIN vs BAL | 5-124-1 (6 tgt) | 23.4 |
| W11 | MIN vs CHI | 1-16-0 (1 tgt) | 2.6 |
| W12 | MIN vs GB | 0-0-0 (1 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W13 | MIN vs SEA | 0-0-0 (1 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W14 | MIN vs WAS | 3-30-0 (3 tgt) | 6.0 |
| W15 | MIN vs DAL | 3-47-2 (5 tgt), 1--2 rush | 19.5 |
| W16 | MIN vs NYG | 0-0-0 (2 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W17 | MIN vs DET | 0-0-0 (1 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W18 | MIN vs GB | 3-49-0 (3 tgt) | 7.9 |