Jalen McMillan
WRTB · bye 10DNA HNova projection
92season budget (pts)
9.4
PPR / game
229
Nova rank
T6
tier
-69.4
VORP
Market
141.5
ADP · 12.10
121-160
draft range
166
expert ECR
132-298
expert range
-75
Nova vs market rank
-75
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
36
floor (P10)
92
median (budget)
156
ceiling (P90)
2%
P(tier-1 season)
4%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR62-WR117
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.162x position norm · 17 games · 9.72 mean PPR
Jalen McMillan is Nova's 229th-ranked player overall (WR, TB), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 92 points this season, about 9.4 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 142, ahead of Nova's 229.
Nova gives him about a 2% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 36 points (floor) to 156 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 229 | T6 | -69.4 | 2% | WR62-WR117 | 35.5-156.4 |
| Half PPR | 220 | T6 | -57.3 | 2% | WR60-WR115 | 30-132.1 |
| Standard | 208 | T7 | -42 | 2% | WR57-WR113 | 24.4-107.7 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 243 | T8 | -71.4 | 2% | WR62-WR117 | 35.5-156.4 |