Isiah Pacheco
RBDET · bye 6DNA VNova projection
104season budget (pts)
8.22
PPR / game
191
Nova rank
T6
tier
-54.8
VORP
Market
146.5
ADP · 13.02
102-178
draft range
139
expert ECR
113-163
expert range
-32
Nova vs market rank
-32
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
27
floor (P10)
104
median (budget)
204
ceiling (P90)
5%
P(tier-1 season)
15%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB33-RB70
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.035x position norm · 34 games · 10.53 mean PPR
Isiah Pacheco is Nova's 191st-ranked player overall (RB, DET), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 104 points this season, about 8.22 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 147, ahead of Nova's 191.
Nova gives him about a 5% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 27 points (floor) to 204 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 191 | T6 | -54.8 | 5% | RB33-RB70 | 26.6-204.3 |
| Half PPR | 197 | T6 | -49.9 | 4% | RB33-RB70 | 23.8-182.9 |
| Standard | 214 | T7 | -43.7 | 4% | RB33-RB70 | 21-161.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 207 | T8 | -60 | 5% | RB33-RB70 | 26.6-204.3 |
Nova season stat lines12.6 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 125 |
| Receptions | 21.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 508.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 2.3 |
2025 usage profile13 games
52%
snap share
2
targets / game
7%
team target share
-1%
air yards share
0.098
WOPR (opportunity)
1.5
receptions / game
73%
catch rate
3.9
yards / target
-2.1
air yards / game
9.1
carries / game
36%
team carry share
3.9
yards / carry
24
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
-1.2
TD equity (under pace, due)
-2
TD pace vs position (2 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
21
rush yards before contact / g
14.5
rush yards after contact / g
3
drops
13%
drop rate
78.8
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | KC vs LAC | 5-25-0 rush, 2-3 rec | 4.8 |
| W2 | KC vs PHI | 10-22-0 rush, 1-7 rec | 3.9 |
| W3 | KC vs NYG | 10-45-0 rush, 1-3 rec | 5.8 |
| W4 | KC vs BAL | 7-35-0 rush, 2-13 rec | 12.8 |
| W5 | KC vs JAX | 7-36-0 rush, 3-20 rec | 8.6 |
| W6 | KC vs DET | 12-51-0 rush, 1-0 rec | 6.1 |
| W7 | KC vs LV | 15-57-1 rush, 1--3 rec | 12.4 |
| W8 | KC vs WAS | 12-58-0 rush | 5.8 |
| W13 | KC vs DAL | 3-16-0 rush, 2-17 rec | 5.3 |
| W14 | KC vs HOU | 9-30-0 rush | 3.0 |
| W15 | KC vs LAC | 11-21-0 rush | 2.1 |
| W16 | KC vs TEN | 8-34-0 rush, 6-41 rec | 13.5 |
| W17 | KC vs DEN | 9-32-0 rush | 3.2 |