Isaiah Likely
TENYG · bye 8DNA HNova projection
93season budget (pts)
6.68
PPR / game
173
Nova rank
T6
tier
-44
VORP
Market
138.7
ADP · 12.07
101-169
draft range
116
expert ECR
84-255
expert range
-25
Nova vs market rank
-25
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
35
floor (P10)
93
median (budget)
157
ceiling (P90)
4%
P(tier-1 season)
11%
P(tier-2 or better)
TE22-TE46
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.171x position norm · 41 games · 6.99 mean PPR
Isaiah Likely is Nova's 173rd-ranked player overall (TE, NYG), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 93 points this season, about 6.68 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 139, ahead of Nova's 173.
Nova gives him about a 4% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 35 points (floor) to 157 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 173 | T6 | -44 | 4% | TE22-TE46 | 34.6-157 |
| Half PPR | 167 | T6 | -36.3 | 4% | TE21-TE45 | 28.3-128.6 |
| Standard | 162 | T7 | -27.4 | 4% | TE20-TE44 | 22.1-100.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 183 | T8 | -44 | 4% | TE22-TE46 | 34.6-157 |
Nova season stat lines14 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 399.8 |
| Receptions | 34.1 |
| Receiving TDs | 3.4 |
2025 usage profile12 games
56%
snap share
3
targets / game
12%
team target share
12%
air yards share
0.264
WOPR (opportunity)
2.2
receptions / game
75%
catch rate
8.5
yards / target
23.9
air yards / game
6
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
-0.2
TD equity (under pace, due)
-1.2
TD pace vs position (1 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
1
broken tackles forced
1
drops
1.8%
drop rate
93.1
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W5 | BAL vs HOU | 1-12-0 (1 tgt) | 2.2 |
| W6 | BAL vs LA | 2-6-0 (2 tgt) | 2.6 |
| W8 | BAL vs CHI | 2-8-0 (2 tgt) | 2.8 |
| W9 | BAL vs MIA | 3-60-0 (4 tgt) | 9.0 |
| W10 | BAL vs MIN | 2-17-0 (4 tgt) | 3.7 |
| W11 | BAL vs CLE | 2-15-0 (3 tgt) | 3.5 |
| W12 | BAL vs NYJ | 1-10-0 (3 tgt) | 2.0 |
| W13 | BAL vs CIN | 5-95-0 (6 tgt) | 12.5 |
| W14 | BAL vs PIT | 4-25-1 (6 tgt) | 12.5 |
| W16 | BAL vs NE | 0-0-0 (0 tgt) | 0.0 |
| W17 | BAL vs GB | 3-27-0 (3 tgt) | 5.7 |
| W18 | BAL vs PIT | 2-32-0 (2 tgt) | 5.2 |