Geno Smith
QBNYJ · bye 13DNA SNova projection
192season budget (pts)
12.3
PPR / game
194
Nova rank
T6
tier
-56.1
VORP
Market
92.7
ADP · 8.09
71-108
draft range
238
expert ECR
158-318
expert range
-106
Nova vs market rank
-106
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
72
floor (P10)
192
median (budget)
360
ceiling (P90)
9%
P(tier-1 season)
22%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB14-QB41
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S · Consistent
volatility 0.891x position norm · 47 games · 14.19 mean PPR
Geno Smith is Nova's 194th-ranked player overall (QB, NYJ), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 192 points this season, about 12.3 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 9% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 72 points (floor) to 360 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S (Consistent). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 194 | T6 | -56.1 | 9% | QB14-QB41 | 71.8-359.9 |
| Half PPR | 216 | T6 | -56.2 | 9% | QB14-QB41 | 71.7-359.7 |
| Standard | 267 | T7 | -56.3 | 9% | QB14-QB41 | 71.7-359.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 120 | T8 | -7.7 | 9% | QB14-QB41 | 71.8-359.9 |