Ezekiel Elliott
RBDAL · bye 14DNA VNova projection
95season budget (pts)
6.05
PPR / game
212
Nova rank
T6
tier
-62.4
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
n/a
expert ECR
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
27
floor (P10)
95
median (budget)
197
ceiling (P90)
4%
P(tier-1 season)
13%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB35-RB70
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.062x position norm · 32 games · 7.25 mean PPR
Ezekiel Elliott is Nova's 212th-ranked player overall (RB, DAL), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 95 points this season, about 6.05 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 4% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 27 points (floor) to 197 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 212 | T6 | -62.4 | 4% | RB35-RB70 | 26.8-196.5 |
| Half PPR | 224 | T6 | -58.8 | 4% | RB37-RB71 | 23.4-171.6 |
| Standard | 252 | T7 | -53.9 | 3% | RB38-RB72 | 20-146.8 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 231 | T8 | -67.6 | 4% | RB35-RB70 | 26.8-196.5 |