Emeka Egbuka
WRTB · bye 10DNA HNova projection
192season budget (pts)
11.62
PPR / game
58
Nova rank
T6
tier
28.7
VORP
Market
46.6
ADP · 4.11
33-60
draft range
39
expert ECR
11-69
expert range
-10
Nova vs market rank
-10
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
73
floor (P10)
192
median (budget)
334
ceiling (P90)
19%
P(tier-1 season)
35%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR17-WR67
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.122x position norm · 17 games · 11.51 mean PPR
Market coverage
-3
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Emeka Egbuka is Nova's 58th-ranked player overall (WR, TB), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 192 points this season, about 11.62 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 47, Nova 58).
Nova gives him about a 19% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 73 points (floor) to 334 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 58 | T6 | 28.7 | 19% | WR17-WR67 | 72.7-333.5 |
| Half PPR | 56 | T5 | 24.1 | 19% | WR16-WR65 | 60.8-278.9 |
| Standard | 56 | T7 | 22.6 | 20% | WR16-WR63 | 48.9-224.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 66 | T8 | 26.7 | 19% | WR17-WR67 | 72.7-333.5 |
Nova season stat lines16.5 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 918.7 |
| Receptions | 62.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 5.9 |
| Rushing Yards | 9.8 |
2025 usage profile17 games
78%
snap share
7.5
targets / game
24%
team target share
35%
air yards share
0.601
WOPR (opportunity)
3.7
receptions / game
50%
catch rate
7.4
yards / target
92.5
air yards / game
16
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
-1.1
TD equity (under pace, due)
+2.7
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
1
broken tackles forced
4.5
rush yards before contact / g
0
rush yards after contact / g
9
drops
7%
drop rate
76.1
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 6.5 | 48% over | 5.9 | -9.2% |
| Receiving Yards | 899.5 | 50% over | 918.7 | +2.1% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TB vs ATL | 4-67-2 (6 tgt), 1-9 rush | 23.6 |
| W2 | TB vs HOU | 4-29-1 (7 tgt) | 12.9 |
| W3 | TB vs NYJ | 6-85-0 (8 tgt) | 14.5 |
| W4 | TB vs PHI | 4-101-1 (10 tgt) | 20.1 |
| W5 | TB vs SEA | 7-163-1 (7 tgt) | 31.3 |
| W6 | TB vs SF | 2-24-0 (4 tgt) | 4.4 |
| W7 | TB vs DET | 4-58-0 (12 tgt) | 9.8 |
| W8 | TB vs NO | 3-35-0 (9 tgt) | 6.5 |
| W10 | TB vs NE | 6-115-1 (13 tgt) | 23.5 |
| W11 | TB vs BUF | 5-40-0 (9 tgt) | 9.0 |
| W12 | TB vs LA | 3-32-0 (8 tgt) | 6.2 |
| W13 | TB vs ARI | 4-42-0 (8 tgt) | 8.2 |
| W14 | TB vs NO | 2-15-0 (9 tgt) | 3.5 |
| W15 | TB vs ATL | 4-64-0 (7 tgt) | 10.4 |
| W16 | TB vs CAR | 1-40-0 (2 tgt) | 5.0 |
| W17 | TB vs MIA | 3-20-0 (5 tgt) | 5.0 |
| W18 | TB vs CAR | 1-8-0 (3 tgt) | 1.8 |