Drake London
WRATL · bye 11DNA HNova projection
223season budget (pts)
15.23
PPR / game
24
Nova rank
T5
tier
61
VORP
Market
12.9
ADP · 2.01
8-17
draft range
13
expert ECR
9-19
expert range
-11
Nova vs market rank
-11
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
84
floor (P10)
223
median (budget)
386
ceiling (P90)
27%
P(tier-1 season)
46%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR11-WR53
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
H · High variance
volatility 1.121x position norm · 45 games · 14.6 mean PPR
Market coverage
-16
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Drake London is Nova's 24th-ranked player overall (WR, ATL), in Tier 5. Nova projects roughly 223 points this season, about 15.23 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 13, Nova 24).
Nova gives him about a 27% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 84 points (floor) to 386 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades H (High variance). Nova sits below the Vegas market on him (divergence -16). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 24 | T5 | 61 | 27% | WR11-WR53 | 83.5-386 |
| Half PPR | 27 | T5 | 48 | 27% | WR11-WR53 | 68.7-317.7 |
| Standard | 30 | T7 | 38.3 | 27% | WR12-WR53 | 53.9-249.3 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 33 | T8 | 59 | 27% | WR11-WR53 | 83.5-386 |
Nova season stat lines14.7 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 1035.7 |
| Receptions | 78.9 |
| Receiving TDs | 6.7 |
| Passing Yards | 4.4 |
2025 usage profile12 games
91%
snap share
9.3
targets / game
30%
team target share
40%
air yards share
0.727
WOPR (opportunity)
5.7
receptions / game
61%
catch rate
8.2
yards / target
101.8
air yards / game
16
red-zone opportunities (7 TDs)
+3.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+4.7
TD pace vs position (7 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
1
drops
1%
drop rate
94.1
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 7.5 | 45% over | 6.7 | -10.7% |
| Receiving Yards | 1149.5 | 50% over | 1035.7 | -9.9% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | ATL vs TB | 8-55-0 (15 tgt) | 13.5 |
| W2 | ATL vs MIN | 3-49-0 (4 tgt) | 5.9 |
| W3 | ATL vs CAR | 5-55-0 (8 tgt) | 10.5 |
| W4 | ATL vs WAS | 8-110-1 (10 tgt) | 25.0 |
| W6 | ATL vs BUF | 10-158-1 (16 tgt) | 31.8 |
| W7 | ATL vs SF | 4-42-0 (10 tgt) | 8.2 |
| W9 | ATL vs NE | 9-118-3 (14 tgt) | 38.8 |
| W10 | ATL vs IND | 6-104-1 (8 tgt) | 24.4 |
| W11 | ATL vs CAR | 7-119-0 (9 tgt) | 18.9 |
| W16 | ATL vs ARI | 3-27-0 (8 tgt) | 5.7 |
| W17 | ATL vs LA | 1-4-0 (2 tgt) | 1.4 |
| W18 | ATL vs NO | 4-78-1 (8 tgt) | 17.8 |