Derek Carr
QBNO · bye 8DNA S+Nova projection
180season budget (pts)
13.24
PPR / game
272
Nova rank
T6
tier
-81.7
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
n/a
expert ECR
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
67
floor (P10)
180
median (budget)
323
ceiling (P90)
6%
P(tier-1 season)
17%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB16-QB45
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S+ · Elite consistency
volatility 0.783x position norm · 27 games · 14.52 mean PPR
Derek Carr is Nova's 272nd-ranked player overall (QB, NO), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 180 points this season, about 13.24 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 6% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 67 points (floor) to 323 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 272 | T6 | -81.7 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 67.3-322.5 |
| Half PPR | 325 | T6 | -81.7 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 67.3-322.5 |
| Standard | 530 | T7 | -81.7 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 67.3-322.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 164 | T8 | -33.3 | 6% | QB16-QB45 | 67.3-322.5 |