Davante Adams
WRLA · bye 11DNA VNova projection
211season budget (pts)
14.19
PPR / game
36
Nova rank
T6
tier
48.5
VORP
Market
40.6
ADP · 4.05
30-51
draft range
44
expert ECR
34-68
expert range
+6
Nova vs market rank
+6
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
79
floor (P10)
211
median (budget)
362
ceiling (P90)
23%
P(tier-1 season)
42%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR14-WR58
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.059x position norm · 45 games · 16.21 mean PPR
Market coverage
+8
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Davante Adams is Nova's 36th-ranked player overall (WR, LA), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 211 points this season, about 14.19 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 41, Nova 36).
Nova gives him about a 23% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 79 points (floor) to 362 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). Nova projects him above the Vegas market here (divergence +8). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 36 | T6 | 48.5 | 23% | WR14-WR58 | 78.6-361.7 |
| Half PPR | 35 | T5 | 41 | 24% | WR13-WR57 | 65.9-303.3 |
| Standard | 31 | T7 | 36.8 | 25% | WR12-WR54 | 53.2-244.9 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 46 | T8 | 46.5 | 23% | WR14-WR58 | 78.6-361.7 |
Nova season stat lines14.9 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 841.6 |
| Receptions | 67.9 |
| Receiving TDs | 9.7 |
2025 usage profile14 games
71%
snap share
8.1
targets / game
25%
team target share
38%
air yards share
0.641
WOPR (opportunity)
4.3
receptions / game
53%
catch rate
6.9
yards / target
103.1
air yards / game
32
red-zone opportunities (12 TDs)
+5.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+11.3
TD pace vs position (14 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
5
drops
3.8%
drop rate
100.2
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 9.5 | 46% over | 9.7 | +2.1% |
| Receiving Yards | 774.5 | 50% over | 841.6 | +8.7% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | LA vs HOU | 4-51-0 (8 tgt) | 9.1 |
| W2 | LA vs TEN | 6-106-1 (13 tgt) | 22.6 |
| W3 | LA vs PHI | 3-56-1 (8 tgt) | 14.6 |
| W4 | LA vs IND | 4-56-1 (6 tgt) | 15.6 |
| W5 | LA vs SF | 5-88-0 (11 tgt) | 13.8 |
| W6 | LA vs BAL | 4-39-0 (9 tgt) | 7.9 |
| W7 | LA vs JAX | 5-35-3 (8 tgt) | 26.5 |
| W9 | LA vs NO | 5-60-2 (7 tgt) | 23.0 |
| W10 | LA vs SF | 6-77-1 (8 tgt) | 19.7 |
| W11 | LA vs SEA | 1-1-1 (8 tgt) | 7.1 |
| W12 | LA vs TB | 5-62-2 (8 tgt) | 23.2 |
| W13 | LA vs CAR | 4-58-2 (5 tgt) | 21.8 |
| W14 | LA vs ARI | 4-29-0 (6 tgt) | 6.9 |
| W15 | LA vs DET | 4-71-0 (9 tgt) | 11.1 |