Daniel Jones
QBIND · bye 13DNA VNova projection
186season budget (pts)
15.35
PPR / game
224
Nova rank
T6
tier
-67.5
VORP
Market
172.3
ADP · 15.04
158-180
draft range
158
expert ECR
118-254
expert range
-34
Nova vs market rank
-34
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
69
floor (P10)
186
median (budget)
345
ceiling (P90)
8%
P(tier-1 season)
20%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB15-QB42
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.061x position norm · 29 games · 14.44 mean PPR
Daniel Jones is Nova's 224th-ranked player overall (QB, IND), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 186 points this season, about 15.35 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 172, ahead of Nova's 224.
Nova gives him about a 8% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 69 points (floor) to 345 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 224 | T6 | -67.5 | 8% | QB15-QB42 | 68.7-345.4 |
| Half PPR | 254 | T6 | -67.5 | 8% | QB15-QB42 | 68.7-345.4 |
| Standard | 344 | T7 | -67.5 | 8% | QB15-QB42 | 68.7-345.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 139 | T8 | -19 | 8% | QB15-QB42 | 68.7-345.4 |